Alpha updates. 🪓

Prediction markets feel random… until you see the structure. Most of us scroll categories one by one and assume that’s “research.” I found a visual layout that shows all categories and subcategories in one place. It completely changes how you understand where attention is flowing. 🥂 https://predictions.paradigm.xyz

BTC is bleeding near a key support, and suddenly thousands of coins are moving onto Binance. That’s sell pressure. That’s fear showing up on chain. Exchange inflows usually surge when panic peaks when weak hands give up and late sellers rush to market out of emotion, not strategy. In just two days, nearly 60,000 BTC hit Binance. One day alone saw a wave of coins moved at a loss. Yes, price can still dip. Fear phases are messy. But historically, when selling becomes this emotional and crowded, markets don’t stay down for long. It never feels good near turning points. It’s not supposed to.

People claiming Jeffrey Epstein was actually Satoshi. You really don’t need a long thread to figure this out. The image is fake. and it’s a pretty sloppy fake. The email is dated 2008 but sent to a TerraMar address. TerraMar didn’t even exist back then,…

People claiming Jeffrey Epstein was actually Satoshi. You really don’t need a long thread to figure this out. The image is fake. and it’s a pretty sloppy fake. The email is dated 2008 but sent to a TerraMar address. TerraMar didn’t even exist back then, it only started in 2012. So what, the email took a time machine? And “funding secured”? That phrase became a meme after Elon Musk tweeted it in 2018. Nobody was casually signing emails like that in 2008. It's just a bad fake. Skip the FUD.

ETH funding rate just went FULL RAGE MODE NEGATIVE. Plunged to -0.02%, the most negative level in recent months..signaling heavy short positioning. When funding gets this negative, sentiment this dark, reversals often follow fast.

BTC Weekly RSI now approaching zone where all major cycle bottom has formed Cycle 1 Bottom (2011)18 November 2011 : 35.6 Cycle 2 Bottom (2015)14 January 2015: 31.8 Cycle 3 Bottom (2018)15 December 2018: RSI: 32 Cycle 4 Bottom (2022)21 November 2022 : RSI - 31 Current RSI 33.3

All CME gaps on BTC and ETH are now filled. Yesterday, the S&P 500 opened with a 1.4% gap down and ended the day almost 2% lower. That weakness spilled into crypto as well. Bitcoin saw a decent pullback, slipped below the Yearly Open, and the $88K CME gap…

Translation: Fix your behaviour or else no Bull run for you.

morning thoughts woke up to $BTC at $78.4k. down 6% overnight while i was sleeping. iran situation escalated and weekend liquidity amplified the move. btc sitting at $78.4k right now. down 6.2% since yesterday. checking the data: liquidations: $2.1B wiped out in 24h. 82% longs got crushed. funding turned negative for first time in weeks. open interest down 8% overleveraged positions getting cleared before feb starts. on-chain: 15k btc flowing into exchanges (sell pressure building). miners dumped 2% of reserves (winter storm forcing capitulation). stablecoin supply flat at $172B (no new money entering yet). what i'm watching: • $77k support testing right now • long/short ratio at 0.48 (extreme fear everyone positioned for more downside) • iran tensions + us miner stress from weather my take: jan flushed everyone out like expected. funding flipped negative, leverage cleared, sentiment dead. this is what needed to happen before feb bounce. but $77k has to hold. lose that and $68k is next. watching closely.

Gold dumping.. Silver dumping.. Bitcoin is dumping.. U.S. stocks are dumping.. Even the DXY is falling. So where is the money actually going?

OKX CEO Star Xu is now after CZ kind of like CZ went after SBF in 2022. If this keeps escalating, market sentiment is going to get even more uglier and messy.