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Alpha updates. 🪓

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PostedFeb 1802/18/2026, 10:34 AM
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Bitcoin isn’t operating on a clean 21M fixed supply anymore… and honestly all thanks to Paper Bitcoin. Yes the blockchain still has the hard cap of 21 million coins. But the market structure around Bitcoin has completely changed. Wall Street stepped in with Futures, Options, ETFs. And these instruments allow multiple players to take exposure to the same single coin at the same time. Think about it like this… One real Bitcoin is sitting in custody somewhere. But on top of that one coin, there are multiple “paper” claims. Multiple bets. Multiple positions. No new Bitcoin is being mined. But financially? It’s as if synthetic supply keeps expanding. That’s the game. Scarcity still exists on chain. But in the trading arena, that scarcity gets diluted by leverage. And in this new environment, price isn’t just moving because retail is bullish or bearish. It’s being pushed around by leverage, liquidations, open interest spikes, funding rates… basically the cost of holding those paper bets. Short term? Of course it matters. Leverage gets flushed. Open interest explodes. New bets pile in. You see long wicks on both sides. Volatility becomes the show. But for long term holders, none of this matters