Post #6943

🇺🇸🇨🇳Anthropic dropped one of the clearest warnings yet about the US-China AI race. Their new paper argues the US and its allies could lock in a 12–24 month lead in frontier AI by 2028, but only if they successfully cut China off from advanced chips and American model capabilities. The report paints a picture of a technological cold war already happening behind the scenes. According to Anthropic, Chinese labs are staying close to US frontier models through loopholes, smuggled GPUs, offshore data centers, and “distillation” attacks, where companies use outputs from leading American models to cheaply copy capabilities without paying the massive training costs. Anthropic calls compute the real currency of AI power. Not just another resource, but the bottleneck controlling everything: training, deployment, experimentation, revenue, and the creation of future generations of models. One of the paper’s boldest claims is about China’s semiconductor gap. Anthropic estimates Huawei may produce only 4% of NVIDIA’s aggregate compute capacity in 2026, falling to roughly 2% in 2027. The paper also warns that whoever wins frontier AI may gain something historically unprecedented: A “country of geniuses in a data center.” Anthropic believes future model clusters could function like enormous expert workforces capable of accelerating cyber operations, scientific discovery, engineering, military R&D, and state influence at massive scale. Source. @aipost🏴