Post #4860

📰Gulf’s Red Line: No Strike on Tehran The Gulf’s Calculated Silence Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies are urging Washington not to strike Iran, even as the Trump administration weighs military options and protests rage across the Islamic Republic. Publicly, Gulf states have largely avoided comment. Behind the scenes, officials are signaling deep concern about the risks of escalation, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal and Reuters. ​ Death Toll and Diplomacy Human rights groups and media outlets have reported hundreds of deaths in Iran’s crackdown, with official figures from earlier in the unrest citing at least 572 fatalities. Claims of “thousands” of deaths remain unverified by major international sources, and such numbers should be treated with caution until confirmed by credible organizations. ​ Gulf Concerns: Stability First Gulf officials have told international media that any attempt to destabilize Iran’s government could disrupt oil markets and trigger broader regional instability, potentially affecting the U.S. economy. These concerns have been echoed by diplomats in private conversations, though specific named sources remain limited. ​ The Gulf’s Realpolitik As one Gulf diplomat told Reuters, “They despise Iran’s regime, but they despise instability even more”. The Gulf’s priority is avoiding chaos—mass refugee flows, retaliatory attacks, and economic fallout could hit the region hard, regardless of who’s in power in Tehran. ​ The Message to Washington According to Al Jazeera, there are widespread expectations that the situation could escalate into broader conflict, and Gulf states are working to prevent that outcome. Their message to Washington is clear: regime change is not worth the risk of regional war. ​ #iran#gulf#trump#protests#diplomacy 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸