Post #5600

Trump Is angling For a More Tamed Iran. Did He Win or Fail? 🔠🅰️🔠🔠1️⃣ According to most reports, diplomatic efforts to end the Iran War have fizzled out. Iran appears to have ended indirect negotiations, following Trump’s ominous and demented threats to destroy “a whole civilization” if Iran fails to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by his 8 p.m. Eastern Time deadline on Tuesday, April 7. This was piled on earlier threats to destroy Iran’s power plants, bridges, and critical infrastructure. The various proposals to end the conflict are too maximalist to ensure success. The US demands for ending the war have featured some combination of Iran scrapping its enriched uranium stockpile, cutting ties with its proxy militias, ending the Hormuz blockade, and gutting its missile program. Tehran’s conditions include security guarantees, an end to economic sanctions, and reparations for wartime damages. Since neither side will accept those terms, the result is diplomatic theater, the illusion of progress while the actual war continues and intensifies. At this stage, instead of chasing an impossible grand bargain, the smarter question is simple: What does each side actually need before it can walk away? For the United States and Israel, the non-negotiable bottom line is clear—Iran’s nuclear breakout capability must be verifiably and permanently destroyed. The proxies and missiles are secondary. Even if that goal is reached, nothing is truly fixed. Iran’s nuclear program would be slowed but not stopped. Its proxy network is bloodied but will survive. And Israel, unlike the United States, has no easy exit. It would be left facing a wounded but still dangerous enemy with no American shield. That’s the massive hole every current proposal ignores. Any deal that actually worked would need ironclad, multilaterally enforced security guarantees—the kind the Budapest Memorandum never delivered for Ukraine. The only powers Tehran might trust more than Washington are China and Russia. #trump#iran#victory#ceasefire 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸