Post #58744

Look I think the situation here is that he knew to take Hormoz he needs to do an invasion that will be very costly that will affect the upcoming U.S elections and drag him into a much longer war Once you send some troops you have to send more. Eventually are in too deep to not produce spectacular results The threat here is very dangerous because this is collective punishment against millions of Iranians. A war crime that the U.S congress and house should not allow. Iranians will retaliate and hit the Gulf states, as they are U.S allies and arr enablers for the U.S war. This will create unprecedented chaos. Very avoidable However I feel that this is a possible offramp for this war. This might lead to a ceasefire, with Trump claiming we made them surrender and Iranians claim we stopped the war through pressure. Hormoz is hurting him even though he kept saying we don't need Hormuz. He kept lying and bluffing and acting nothing like a statesman. A very dangerous threat