Post #4012

📉Why our AUD/JPY outlook is firmly bearish: 1. RBA easing cycle intensifies: The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to cut rates for the third consecutive time (July 8), with more cuts expected ahead as Q1 growth stalls near 0.2% and inflation cools to ~2.1%. That increases pressure on AUD yields and weakens the currency . 2. Yield divergence favors JPY: As Australia loosens, Japan’s yield curve continues to steepen amid cautious BoJ moves and rising inflation, bolstering JPY—making AUD/JPY vulnerable to further downside (). 3. Risk-off & safe-haven flows: Heightened global uncertainty—trade friction (e.g., the latest U.S. tariffs on Japan) and potential market volatility—push investors into the yen, a classic safe-haven (). Key risks to monitor: ✔️ RBA rate decision & forward guidance next week ✔️ Japan’s inflation data—especially core CPI and industrial output ✔️ U.S.–Japan trade tensions or new tariff headlines Join VIP channels for more setups and signals 🤝 📲taplink.cc/shadowtraderfx