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PostedSep 109/01/2025, 11:43 AM
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🔑Key Fundamental News – September 1, 2025 💵Dollar slides as Fed cut bets strengthen 💎The U.S. dollar ended August nearly 2% lower, marking one of its weakest months of the year. 💎Markets are now pricing in ~87% probability of a September rate cut, following softer labor market data and Fed Chair Powell’s dovish signals. 💎Investors are closely awaiting Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). A weak reading could lock in a September rate cut, while a strong print may reduce expectations. 💎Political noise in Washington regarding attempts to influence the Federal Reserve is also pressuring the greenback. ⸻ 💸EUR/USD climbs on weaker dollar, but risks linger 💎Current Price: 1.1723 💎The euro rose as the USD lost momentum across the board. 💎However, uncertainty in Europe—particularly French fiscal risks and sluggish German data—continues to weigh on medium-term sentiment. 💎Traders see EUR/USD capped unless U.S. jobs data comes in very weak later this week. ⸻ 💸GBP/USD steady as BoE hawkish bias offsets USD weakness 💎Current Price: 1.3529 💎Sterling traded firm, supported by expectations that the Bank of England will maintain a hawkish tone given persistent UK inflationary pressures. 💎Strong wage growth in Britain has also reinforced bets that the BoE won’t rush into policy easing, unlike the Fed. 💎Traders remain cautious ahead of U.S. data later this week. ⸻ 💸USD/JPY stabilizes near 147.0 amid Japan inflation focus 💎Current Price: 147.05 💎The yen held steady after Tokyo CPI printed 2.5% YoY, suggesting sticky inflation. 💎This keeps speculation alive that the Bank of Japan may need to gradually shift away from ultra-loose policy. 💎Meanwhile, Japan’s Finance Ministry repeated warnings against “excessive FX volatility,” signaling possible intervention if yen weakness accelerates. ⸻ 🪙Gold rallies to 4-month high on Fed easing bets 💎Current Price: $3,478/oz 💎Gold surged to its strongest level since April 2025, fueled by heightened expectations of U.S. rate cuts. 💎Safe-haven demand also rose as investors hedge against political risks in the U.S. and global trade uncertainty. 💎Silver jumped 2.7%, touching a 14-year high, adding further momentum to precious metals. 💎Analysts highlight “buy-on-dips” strategy as long as Fed easing stays in play. ⸻ 🕯Follow ✈️@shadowtraderfx for daily fundamental market updates.