Post #4303

🇺🇸🇯🇵USD/JPY H2 Scenario – Technical & Fundamental Outlook 💡 The USD/JPY has entered a corrective phase following months of sustained bullish pressure. After failing to break above the 153.00 resistance zone, the pair has formed a clear lower-high structure, confirming a potential shift in market momentum. 📊Technical Outlook: 📎 Break of structure below 151.50 confirms short-term bearish sentiment. ✅ 📎 Price has retested the broken support zone — now acting as resistance. ✅ 📎 As long as the market remains below 151.50, sellers are likely to dominate, with downside potential toward 147.00 > 146.50 demand area. 🎯 📰Fundamental Insight: 📎 The U.S. Dollar faces pressure as recent CPI and retail sales data indicate cooling inflation, increasing the likelihood of a more neutral or dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. 📎 Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen gains relative strength, supported by speculation that the Bank of Japan could gradually shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy amid rising domestic inflation and currency intervention risks. 📎 Yield differentials remain wide - but narrowing expectations may support further JPY recovery in the short term. 🔎Scenario: If price maintains below 151.50, continuation toward 147.00> 146.50 remains the primary outlook. A break above 151.80 would invalidate this scenario and signal potential bullish recovery. 📈Bias: Bearish toward 147.00 > 146.50 📉Invalidation: Above 151.80 ⸻ 📱For real-time setups, macro insights & advanced price action strategies → Join our free Telegram @ShadowTraderFX