Post #4313

🇺🇸🇨🇭USD/CHF H2 Scenario – Technical & Fundamental Breakdown The pair has shown a strong shift in momentum after multiple failed attempts to break below the 0.7900 support zone, signaling potential exhaustion among sellers. Price has now broken out of the descending channel, reclaiming structure above 0.7950, which opens the door for a short-term bullish continuation. 📊Technical Outlook: 📎Clear break of market structure (BOS) above 0.7950 ✅ 📎 Successful retest of previous resistance, now acting as fresh support✅ 📎 Intraday bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 0.7940 – 0.7950 📎 Next resistance targets: 0.8020, followed by the 0.8050 – 0.8060 key supply zone This scenario reflects a classic break–retest–continuation pattern, confirming early bullish intent after weeks of downside pressure. Institutional traders may seek liquidity below short-term lows before a potential move higher. 📰Fundamental Context: 📎 The U.S. Dollar has stabilized amid cautious market sentiment, supported by recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, suggesting rates could stay higher for longer. 📎 However, Swiss Franc strength has been capped as the SNB (Swiss National Bank) remains cautious about excessive currency appreciation, hinting at possible interventions if CHF gains become too aggressive. 📎 As risk appetite improves and global yields stabilize, capital is rotating slightly away from safe havens like CHF, supporting USD/CHF recovery potential. 💡Scenario: As long as the structure holds above 0.7940, the bias remains bullish toward 0.8050 – 0.8060. A clean break below 0.7930 would invalidate this scenario and reopen the path toward 0.7900. 📈Bias: Bullish toward 0.8050 📉Invalidation: Below 0.7930 ⸻ ✈️ For more institutional-level analysis, live setups & smart money insights → Join our free Telegram channel 👉@ShadowTraderFX