Post #23173

December is getting off to a tense start: the market is almost certain of a Fed rate cut, but Japan is preparing a hike—this conflict is making Bitcoin's price action sharp and volatile. The probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut exceeds 80%. Weak inflation and declining consumer activity are pushing the regulator toward easing, and liquidity is already growing: repo transactions are expanding, yields are falling, $740 million flowed into crypto funds in a week, and stablecoin turnover increased by $2.1 billion. This suggests the beginning of a steady capital inflow. At the same time, Japan is changing course: the probability of a rate hike on December 19 is around 90%. Rising JGB yields threaten the carry trade, and its collapse has already triggered significant sell-offs—last year, Bitcoin fell from $70,000 to $49,000 under a similar scenario. Exchange data is escalating tension: BTC inflows are reaching yearly highs, with an average of around 8,900 BTC typically preceding corrections. Nearly a million stablecoin deposits simultaneously appear to be preparing for active trading. Key levels: support at $90,000 and the strategic $80,000 zone. Holding the former will open the way to $100,000; a breakout will increase bearish pressure. The market is caught between opposing monetary forces, and the $80,000–$90,000 range is compressing ahead of a strong December move. Make a statement in any market situation👇