Post #8230

Is the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Dead? PlanB Pushes Back Forget the bear talk, $126k wasn’t the cycle top, and 2026 won’t automatically bring a Bitcoin crash just because of the “4-year halving cycle.” The legendary Stock-to-Flow analyst says that pattern is way too young (just three cycles) to trust as gospel. ➡️ The S2F model tells us about average BTC prices across cycles, not tops or bottoms. ➡️ No major price transition has hit this cycle: the realized price hasn’t broken from the 200-week moving average, and RSI hasn’t even hit 80+ yet. ➡️ The real fireworks could still be ahead or, Bitcoin is maturing into a more stable regime with big institutional players accumulating and rebalancing positions. ➡️ PlanB stresses: “No bear market without a big move!” (think red-hot RSI and realized price surging above the 200WMA). The bear case is missing the data. Bitcoin might just be coiling for an even bigger move. 🐴Powered by White Horse