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Притоки средств в спотовые ETF на биткоин ускоряется. Идти нужно за капиталом, куда льются деньги, там крупные интересы. #btc#етф#Bitcoin#финпотоки#спот

🔮 New #Bitcoin#ETF commercial from #VanEck

🧐How the 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Behaves During Wars — 85 Years of Data, the “Oil-War” Subset, and What It Means for Investors 1. Eight-plus Decades of Market Reactions Analysts counted 45 armed conflicts since 1940 (WWII excluded). On average the index was: ➡️ +0.7 % one month after the shooting starts ➡️ +4–4.5 % six months later ➡️ +9 % twelve months later As we can see, most war shocks are short-lived; six-to-twelve months on, the market usually trades higher than on day one of the crisis. 2. Zooming In on 🛢 Oil-Driven Wars ➡️ We isolated eight conflicts where oil was the key variable (Yom Kippur ’73, Gulf War ’90, Soleimani strike ’20, “Iron Swords” ’23, etc.). ➡️ The outlier is 1973: Yom Kippur + Arab oil embargo = roughly -35 % on the S&P in 12 months. 😮 ➡️ In the other seven oil wars the index was flat or positive a year later (six wins out of eight). Strip out 1973 and the average 12-month result hovers around +1 %. 3. Why 1973 ≠ 2024 ➡️ Back then the U.S. was a net importer of oil — today it both pumps and exports. ➡️ OPEC held near-total pricing power in the ’70s; today OECD countries hold strategic reserves equal to several weeks of global demand. ➡️ The 1970s Fed was tightening into double-digit inflation; today CPI is falling and the Fed has room to cushion a shock if needed. 4. The Current Flashpoint: 🇮🇷 Iran — 🇮🇱 Israel ➡️ Shutting the Strait of Hormuz (20 % of global seaborne crude) would be dramatic, but a full-blown market meltdown would also require a prolonged blockade, strikes on 🇸🇦 Saudi infrastructure, and harsh secondary sanctions. Major banks see that cocktail as low probability. ➡️ Historically, the S&P 500 “forgets” most wars unless they trigger a lasting energy shock and recession. 5. Where Crypto (and TON) Fits In ➡️ Bitcoin sometimes trades like “digital gold” (rising on fear), but more often moves with risk assets — just with bigger swings. ➡️Toncoin depends mostly on its own catalysts: wallet growth inside Telegram, new mini-apps, exchange listings. Global conflicts touch it only via overall risk appetite; note how TON dipped far less than the average alt during the October 2023 Middle-East flare-up. 6. Practical Takeaways (DYOR — not financial advice, just logic) ➡️ Need cash within 1-3 months? Keep a chunk in cash or short-term bonds; volatility can bite harder than the market can heal before your due date. ➡️ Long horizon (12 mo+)? History shows the index ends higher roughly 70 % of the time. ➡️ Diversify: a dash of defensives (gold, energy ETFs) plus stocks/crypto. Sharp drops in one bucket often offset gains elsewhere. ➡️ News ≠ strategy. Headlines move prices for days; long-run trends are set by earnings and central-bank policy. ➡️ Crypto stack: core (BTC/ETH) + theme (TON). Expect 20-30 % draw-downs in alts — normal, not terminal. Wars shock instantly, yet the S&P 500 usually “forgets” within six to twelve months. Oil magnifies the impact, but a 1973-style crash is far harder to replay today. Panic rarely pays; calm discipline and broad diversification still work even when missiles make the news. #SP500#OilConflict#MarketInsights#Investing#RiskManagement#OilPrices#Bitcoin

Texas Creates First Bitcoin Reserve Fund The Texas Senate has passed Senate Bill No. 21, establishing a state-level Bitcoin reserve fund. This makes Texas the first U.S. government to manage a cryptocurrency fund, which will hold Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies valued over $500 billion. An advisory committee will oversee its development. Additionally, Bitcoin financial services company Fold has added 475 BTC to its treasury, now holding over 1,485 BTC worth nearly $130 million, using MicroStrategy's strategy with convertible bonds. Read more about Fold here and the Texas Bitcoin reserve here. #Bitcoin#Texas#Crypto#VC

Sentiment: While the stocks of #Bitcoin and #Ethereum continue to leave the exchanges after the approval of the #ETF, an interesting event was the return to the exchanges of almost 4% of the available stock of #Tether in 5 weeks. The increase in purchasing power suggests that the 3+ month medium-term bullish cycle (which began back in October) may still have some legs, especially considering that there are only 79 days left before the halving, which is estimated to occur on April 18.

Justin Sun transferred 500 $BTC ($30.3M) to a #Binance deposit and 513.4 $BTC ($31.2M) to a new wallet in the past hour. So far in 2024, he has deposited a net amount of 2,969 $BTC ($164M) to #HTX and #Binance at ~$55,185. Notably, Justin Sun often claims to be a strong advocate of #Bitcoin: • In late February, he revealed an HTX account holding 28,614 $BTC (now $1.74B). • In July, he offered to buy all $BTC off-market from the German government to minimize market impact. • However, also in July, he denied going long on $BTC at the $69,000 price level. Follow @spotonchain for more updates about #JustinSun now via https://platform.spotonchain.ai/en/platform/entity/278

🔥 Baby Banana Airdrop Event 🎁 Total Airdrop Pool 12.6 Billion $BABYBAN ✅ Airdrop link http://t.me/BabyBanAirdropBot #Airdrops#Giveaway#crypto#airdropcrypto#airdrop#bitcoin

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🔥 Ninja Rabbit Airdrop Event 🎁 Total Airdrop Pool $15,000 Worth $NRABBIT ✅ Airdrop link http://t.me/NinjaRabbitAirdropBot #Airdrops#Giveaway#crypto#airdropcrypto#airdrop#bitcoin Disclaimer: Please do your own research before joining to any airdrops project, also airdrop is 100% free. Don't send any fee or penny for receiving airdrop tokens. Just join airdrop free!

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🔥 Smart Pepe Airdrop Event 🎁 Total Airdrop Pool 50,000 $SMARTPEPE ✅ Airdrop bot https://t.me/SmartPEPEAirdropBot #Airdrops#Giveaway#crypto#airdropcrypto#airdrop#bitcoin