На рынке удивительная ситуация с этим кризисом чипов: у людей есть деньги и желание купить товар, а у компаний есть производство и желание продать. Но товар не могут сделать и поставить. Кстати, что странно, компании даже в условиях дефицита не повышают официальную цену, хотя именно так капитализм должен был бы в норме решать эту проблему. В итоге, мы получаем паразитическую сторону капитализма — появляются перекупщики, которые делают наценку 50-100% и даже более.
С автомобилями (да, новые автомобили тоже внезапно в кризисе) такая перепродажа, вероятно, не очень прокатывает. Но приставки и видеокарты попали под ситуацию очень заметно. В идеале и производителям и легальным магазинам нужно продать товар по возможности сразу целевому пользователю. Как это сделать? Магазины в России в конце прошлого года попробовали анализировать аккаунты покупателей и вручную звонить людям, попавшим под некий профиль (например, если человек купил много геймерских товаров), предлагая им PlayStation 5. Кажется, сработало это не очень хорошо. Во-первых, многие, кто очень хочет, так и остались без приставки. Люди буквально днями и неделями мониторят все возможные сайты в надежде поймать заветную «плойку». Иногда удается, но чаще нет. Во-вторых, магазины всё равно попадают на тех, кто в итоге продаст товар с наценкой. Например, два разных магазина могут продать одному и тому же человеку. Или — так было в моём случае — магазин предложил мне только дисковую версию, я её купил и продал ровно так, чтобы компенсировать наценку на бездисковую, которую на самом деле хотел. Впрочем, я купил бездисковую не у таких потерявших берега перекупщиков, какие обитают в России, а за границей, и наценка была небольшая относительно состояния рынка.
И вот здесь привязка устройств к человеку по каким-нибудь идентификационным данным на самом деле могла бы сыграть в плюс. В магазине, кстати, приставку продали только при личной явке и только при предъявлении паспорта, и это после их же звонка с предложением. Но можно пойти дальше: прямо при покупке привязывать аккаунт к конкретной персоне, и так, чтобы его нельзя было отвязать, например, в течение года. Это конечно упрощённая и идеализированная модель, но суть ясна: сделать скорую перепродажу невыгодной или даже невозможной.
Год назад казалось, что через год то уж точно приставки для всех будут. Я поэтому тогда и не купил. А в действительности через год стало только сложнее достать. Посмотрим, что будет ещё через год.
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🔵Globallashuv iqtisodiy o'sish va yashash darajasini oshirishga yordam beradi, lekin ijtimoiy va iqtisodiy tengsizliklarga ham, ma'lum sektorlarida ish o'rinlarining yo'qolishiga ham sabab bo'lishi mumkin.
🌏 Globalization refers to the process through which individuals, businesses, and governments around the world become more interconnected and interdependent
🔵Globalization is a complex and multifaceted phenomenon with both positive and negative effects, influencing various aspects of modern life and international relations
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🌍 Between 1960 and 2020, the number of international migrants worldwide more than tripled, reflecting shifting economies, conflicts, and growing global connections across continents. ✨
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📰 China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Triumph: Defying Trump, Drowning the World in Goods
The Surplus That Shook the Globe
China just posted the biggest trade surplus in history: $1.2 trillion. That’s a 20% jump from 2024, even as President Trump’s tariffs kept biting. The world’s factory didn’t shrink—it pivoted. US-bound exports fell 19.5%, but Chinese goods flooded into Africa, Southeast Asia, the EU, and Latin America instead.
The High-Tech Surge
Exports of electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and solar panels jumped 27% in 2025. High-end machine tools and industrial robots rose 13%. Chinese officials hailed the numbers as proof of resilience: “China forged ahead despite a complex and challenging external environment,” said Wang Jun, deputy administrator of the customs bureau.
The Global Backlash
The surplus isn’t just a win for Beijing—it’s a headache for everyone else. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron, warn that the imbalance is unsustainable. Countries are scrambling to protect their own industries from Chinese “industrial overcapacity” and the flood of cheap imports.
The Truce and the Threat
Trump and Xi struck a truce in October, lowering tariffs to 20% after they briefly hit 145%. But Trump just threatened a new 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran—potentially targeting China, a major Tehran ally.
Can China keep this export engine running? Analysts doubt it. The property crisis at home is dragging down domestic demand, and the rest of the world is getting fed up with Chinese goods. The trade war isn’t over—just shifting fronts.
#china#trade#trump#surplus#globalization
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📰 Trump’s Chaotic Era Sparks ‘Survival of the Richest’ in Davos
The New World Order
The old rules are gone. The system that businesses once trusted has been upended by President Trump, whose America-first agenda is reshaping alliances, trade, and global power dynamics.
“The quicker everyone recognizes it, the better it is,”
said former UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
“Sitting there and moaning about it is just not useful”.
Davos in the Age of Trump
At Davos, the theme is “A Spirit of Dialogue”—but the reality is chaos. Trump’s unpredictable Truth Social posts, his demands for Greenland, and his threats against allies have turned the forum into a battleground for the world’s wealthiest. The US president’s return is the main attraction, drawing record crowds of CEOs, tech moguls, and hedge fund billionaires.
Silicon Valley’s Pivot
Once wary of Trump, Silicon Valley now embraces his agenda. Tech titans like Marc Benioff have shifted from Democratic causes to supporting Trump’s call for prioritizing American companies.
“I want to continue to see that United States companies will continue to be prioritized,”
Benioff said.
The Survival Game
Trump’s policies have led to a surge in the wealth of the world’s richest, as global markets and economies adapt to his disruptive approach. “Survival of the richest,” as tech chronicler Douglas Rushkoff puts it. The elites in Davos are aligning with power, not principles, adapting to whatever comes next.
The Davos era is no longer about globalization or inclusion. It’s about power, survival, and the relentless pursuit of advantage in a world where the rules are being rewritten every day.
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Belize vs. Mongolia: The Sovereignty Paradox
Mongolia is big, mineral-rich, and sandwiched between China and Russia. Belize is small, resource-poor, and stuck in the Caribbean. By every old-school metric, Mongolia should be the economic sovereign. But the numbers say otherwise: Belize today shows a higher level of real economic sovereignty — not because it’s richer, but because it’s smarter.
The old formula was simple: more territory, more resources, more power. But the modern Sovereignty Index reveals a different truth. Economic sovereignty isn’t about how much you have, but how much you control. Mongolia’s economy is still built on a narrow base — coal, copper, gold, rare earths — all of which are subject to global price swings and geopolitical pressure. When the market crashes or Beijing flexes, Mongolia’s entire system trembles.
Belize, by contrast, has no vast mines or oil fields, but it has built something more valuable: a diversified economy. Tourism, financial services, agriculture, logistics, digital services — none of them dominate, but together they create resilience. When one sector stumbles, the others absorb the shock. Belize’s currency, fiscal policy, and regulatory system give it the flexibility to adapt, not just react.
So what does this mean for the world? The classic “resource curse” is alive and well: countries with the biggest reserves often end up the most vulnerable, because their wealth is dictated by outside forces. Belize’s strength comes from its ability to decide its own fate, not just its ability to extract and export.
The real test of sovereignty isn’t prosperity, but survival. When the crisis hits, who has the power to maneuver, who can absorb the blow, who keeps control of the levers?
In 2025, Belize proves that economic sovereignty isn’t about scale — it’s about structure. Size doesn’t guarantee strength; diversification does.
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Trade liberalization can boost economic growth but its impact on income inequality is controversial. It can create new opportunities but also displace low-skilled workers, widening the gap between rich and poor. Developing economies should implement policies to counterbalance the negative effects.#InternationalRelations#EconomicGrowth#TradeLiberalization#IncomeInequality#PolicyAnalysis#DevelopingEconomies
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