WSJ разобрал внутренние документы Meta (признана экстремистской в России) и опубликовал отчёт по виар-направлению, из которого следует, что всё плохо.
Количество уникальных пользователей Horizon Worlds более чем в два раза меньше, нежели планировалось к концу этого года. Возвращаемость очень низкая. Более половины купленных VR-очков Quest пылятся на полках (у меня не Quest, но тоже пылится). Большинство миров ни разу не посещено, и только 9% посещено хотя бы пятьюдесятью людьми. Расходы рекламодателей снижаются, акции компании за год упали на 62%.
Тут возможны два варианта:
1. Цукерберг гений, а падение лишь временное перед мощным скачком вверх. В какой-то момент и платформу допилят, и критическая масса людей наберётся, и мы все очень быстро переместимся в виар.
2. Цукерберг сделал плохую ставку, но не готов (пока) это признать. Виар высосет из компании ещё больше ресурсов, но никакого значимого изменения не будет.
Надо сказать, что и привязка к Фейсбуку не идёт этой теме на пользу. Даже в англоязычном мире отношение к ФБ неоднозначное. Много было скандалов с воровством данных и всякими нелепыми банами.
#web
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before May 2026? 👀
Inflation says one thing. Growth says another.
Markets price probability before central banks confirm direction.
That’s where prediction systems become powerful.
#Fed#RateCuts#Macro#PredictionMarkets#EdgeMarket#TONBlockchain#Finance
🚀 Poland's Central Bank Governor: No Need for Rate Hike, Rate Cuts Paused
Poland's Central Bank Governor, Adam Glapiński, stated that there is no need to raise interest rates, and that the recent cycle of rate cuts has been paused. According to Jin10, Glapiński emphasized that the current economic conditions do not warrant an increase in rates, suggesting a stable monetary policy stance for the foreseeable future. This decision comes amid ongoing assessments of Poland's economic performance and inflation trends.
#Poland#CentralBank#InterestRates#MonetaryPolicy#Economy#Inflation#RateCuts
🚀 White House Economic Advisor Suggests Fed Has Room for Rate Cuts
The White House National Economic Council Director, Hassett, has indicated that the Federal Reserve still has room to lower interest rates. According to ChainCatcher, this outlook is expected to be very stable.
#WhiteHouse#EconomicAdvisor#FederalReserve#InterestRates#RateCuts#Economy#MonetaryPolicy
🚀 U.S. CPI Data to Reflect Impact of Iranian Energy Shock, Analysts Say
U.S. CPI data released on Friday is expected to show the first significant impact of the Iranian energy shock, according to analysts at First Citizens Bank. The surge in energy costs is anticipated to accelerate overall inflation. According to Jin10, the bank's head of market and economic research noted that while core inflation remains significantly above target, the Federal Reserve is likely to 'ignore' the energy-driven inflation spike for now. He suggested that this stance reinforces the Fed's long-term position of maintaining current rates, linking potential rate cuts to the normalization of energy prices.
#USCPI#IranianEnergyShock#inflation#FederalReserve#energycosts#ratecuts#FirstCitizensBank#economicresearch
🚀 U.S. Inflation Pressures Persist as February PCE Data Anticipated
The market anticipates that the U.S. February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will indicate ongoing inflationary pressures. According to BlockBeats, consensus expectations suggest a month-on-month increase to 0.4% and a year-on-year rate holding at 2.8%, with core PCE year-on-year at approximately 3.0%, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Analysts highlight that the current inflation rebound is primarily driven by rising commodity prices and increasing energy costs, while 'super core services inflation' remains notably sticky, making a short-term decline unlikely.
In this context, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the interest rate range of 3.50%-3.75% at its April meeting, marking the third consecutive pause in rate cuts.
Market pricing has also shifted rapidly, with over 97% of traders betting on no change in April, and expectations for rate cuts within the year have cooled significantly, with mainstream views shifting towards a 'later, less' easing path.
#USInflation#PCEData#InflationPressures#FederalReserve#InterestRates#EnergyCosts#CommodityPrices#SuperCoreServices#MarketExpectations#RateCuts#USEconomy#FebruaryPCE#EconomicOutlook#FedPolicy#InflationRebound