На днях была интересная вещь: некий автор написал на VC текст с анализом статистики активности пользователей ВКонтакте за последние несколько лет. В нём он неправильным способом пришёл к правильному выводу: активность людей снижается. Способ неправильный, потому что сразу было видно, что сравниваются между собой разные показатели в разные моменты времени (а нужно сравнивать один и тот же показатель в разные моменты времени).
Тем не менее, статья вызвала широчайший резонанс (62 тысячи просмотров, более 500 комментариев, по мерках VC это очень много).
ВКонтакте сначала ответили в комментариях чем-то в духе: "Нас уже 10 лет хоронят, а мы ещё живы". А затем опубликовали материал от имени аж CEO, где привели вроде бы много цифр и графиков, но все они в основном сводились к единственному показателю из разных источников: суммарная месячная аудитория. И из графика под этим постом видно, что рост MAU, которым ВК так хвастается, замедлился как раз тогда, когда все люди пришли в интернет из-за пандемии -- второй квартал 2020.
В комментариях, ожидаемо, многие пишут, что их личные наблюдения не соответствуют рассказанному в статье. Но дьявол тут именно в этом показателе: он ничего не показывает. А люди наблюдают падение активности, а не падение чисел для отчётов. На какие показатели действительно хотелось бы посмотреть:
- средний возраст активной аудитории,
- конверсия просмотров в лайки и комментарии,
- средняя длина текста в публикации,
- доля публикаций без внешних ссылок,
- отношение активных подписчиков на личных страницах и в сообществах к общему количеству подписчиков
- процент удалённых аккаунтов
Именно в динамике посмотреть, как эти данные менялись от месяца к месяцу. И тогда уже сделать выводы. Потому что фраза "ВК умирает" не означает, что содержимое по адресу vk com перестаёт существовать. Если администрация превратит эту соцсеть в догоняющий клон тиктока, то аудитория будет. Просто не будет от ВК ничего, кроме названия.
Ну и самое крутое: один из комментаторов обратил внимание на значимое явление. Генеральный директор ВК пришла писать длинную статью про ВК на другой ресурс. Потому что у самого ВК уже нет возможности показать длинный текст на большую аудиторию.
#web
✨Microsoft Community Conf 2025 — Full Agenda
We’re just one day away from bringing together the brightest minds in AI, .NET, Cloud, DevOps, and engineering across Central Asia.
Here’s what awaits you tomorrow:
🕘09:00–10:00 — Registration
🕙10:00–10:30 — Welcome Speech
🕥10:30–11:00 — Rising from Andijan to HP’s Executive Ranks — Mike Kuchkarov
🕚11:00–12:00 — MCP Economy — Nozim Turakulov
🕛12:00–13:00 — Developers’ Diary: Semantic Kernel & Agentic AI — Ildar Adilov
🕐13:00–14:30 — Lunch, Partner Activities & Group Photo
🕑14:30–15:00 — Microsoft Agent Framework — Alexander Trofimenko
🕒15:00–15:40 — Capacity & Performance Management in Tech Teams — Djahongir Makhkamov
🕓15:40–16:20 — Azure OpenAI, GitHub on Azure, GitHub Copilot — Yerlan Shokataev
🕔16:20–17:20 — Event-Driven Architectures with .NET & Azure — Erkin Mukhammedkulov
🕕17:20–18:00 — Closing Ceremony & Networking
😄 Sorry for the late-night post — midnight or not, the excitement for the event doesn’t wait!
📅 Date: November 22
📍 Location: Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
(Yoshlar Ijod Saroyi)
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
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🎤 Meet Our Speaker – Yerlan Shokatayev!
We’re excited to welcome Yerlan Shokatayev,
Microsoft Solutions Presales Engineer @ SOLVAS,
to Microsoft Community Conf 2025! 🚀
Yerlan will deliver a highly anticipated session:
"Azure Open AI, Github on Azure, Github Copilot"
Get ready to explore the cutting-edge of AI and cloud development:
- How Azure Open AI is transforming enterprise solutions
- Practical workflows with GitHub on Azure
- Tips, best practices, and actionable insights to leverage AI in software development
📅 November 22, 2025
📍 Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
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🎤 Meet Our Speaker – Alexander Trofimenko!
We’re excited to welcome Alexander Trofimenko,
Senior Engineering Manager @ EPAM Systems,
to Microsoft Community Conf 2025! 🚀
Alexander will take the stage with a highly anticipated and insightful session:
“Microsoft Agent Framework”
Get ready to dive deep into one of Microsoft’s most advanced technologies — from real-world applications to architecture patterns, best practices, and how this framework is shaping the future of intelligent systems.
📅 November 22, 2025
📍 Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
More exciting speaker announcements are on the way — stay tuned!
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🎥 Speaker Spotlight – Mike Kuchkarov (HP)
We’re excited to share the official speaker video of Mike Kuchkarov, C-Level Leader | Vice President & CFO — Storage Business Unit @ HP! 🚀
In his upcoming talk, “Rising from Andijan to HP’s Executive Ranks,” Mike opens up about his journey from humble beginnings to becoming a global C-suite executive at one of the world’s most influential tech companies.
His story is a powerful blend of ambition, resilience, and world-class leadership — a blueprint for anyone aiming to build a global career and lead at scale.
📅 November 22
✅ Secure your spot: Register now
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🎤 Meet Our Speaker – Mike Kuchkarov!
We’re thrilled to announce Mike Kuchkarov,
Vice President & CFO — Storage Business Unit @ HP,
joining us at Microsoft Community Conf 2025! 🚀
Mike will take the stage with an inspiring and deeply personal session:
“Rising from Andijan to HP’s Executive Ranks”
A powerful story of ambition, resilience, and global leadership — and a rare chance to learn how a leader from Uzbekistan rose to one of the world’s most influential tech companies.
🔥 In his talk, expect insights on:
- Breaking barriers and building a global career
- Navigating leadership at scale
- Managing transformation inside a Fortune 100 tech giant
If you’re driven by growth, leadership, and building world-class tech teams, this is a session you cannot afford to miss.
📅 November 22, 2025
📍 Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
More exciting speaker announcements are on the way — stay tuned!
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📹 Speaker Video: Djakhongir Makhkamov
Ex-Amazon | MIT-Certified CTO | COO @ U-Code
Djakhongir will unpack how top engineering teams manage capacity, scale efficiently, and boost performance using real frameworks from global tech.
Watch his message and get a preview of what’s coming at Microsoft Community Conf 2025.
You don’t want to miss this session.
📅 November 22
✅ Secure your spot: Register now
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🎤 Meet Our Speaker – Djakhongir Makhkamov!
We’re excited to welcome Djakhongir Makhkamov,
Ex-Amazon, MIT certified CTO. Currently COO at U-Code (a Beeline/Veon subsidiary) 🚀
He will deliver a powerful session on
“Capacity and Performance Management in Tech Teams” — a talk that dives into:
- How high-performing engineering teams scale
- Effective approaches to workload planning and team capacity
- Performance management strategies used in modern tech organizations
If you’re passionate about building efficient, scalable, and future-ready tech teams, this is one session you absolutely cannot miss.
📅 Date: November 22, 2025
📍 Location: Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
More exciting speaker announcements are on the way — stay tuned!
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📹 Speaker Video: Erkin Mukhammedkulov
Engineering Manager @ EPAM Systems
Erkin is bringing a deep dive into Event-Driven Architectures with .NET and Azure — how modern teams build scalable, resilient, production-ready systems.
Watch his message and get a preview of what’s coming at Microsoft Community Conf 2025.
You don’t want to miss this session.
📅 November 22
✅ secure your spot: Register now
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🎤 Meet Our Speaker – Erkin Mukhamedkulov!
We’re thrilled to welcome Erkin Mukhamedkulov, Engineering Manager at EPAM Systems, to Microsoft Community Conf 2025! 🚀
He will present “Event-Driven Architectures with .NET and Azure: Building Resilient, Scalable Systems” — an exciting session exploring:
The future of intelligent applications
Modern cloud-first development
How AI agents are transforming engineering
If you’re passionate about cutting-edge tech, this is a session you cannot miss.
📅 Date: November 22, 2025
📍 Location: Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
Stay tuned for more amazing speaker announcements!
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🚨 Only 2 Days Left!
Don’t miss your chance to join the Microsoft Developers Community Conference 2025! Connect, learn, and innovate with top tech leaders, developers, and community members.
📅 November 22
📍 Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot now: https://mdcuzbekistan.com/register
#MDCUConf2025#MicrosoftCommunity
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🎤Meet Our Speaker – Ildar Adilov!
We're excited to welcome Ildar Adilov, Lead SWE at EPAM Systems, to Microsoft Community Conf 2025! 🚀
He will dive into "Developer's diary: Semantic Kernel and Agentic AI" — a powerful session exploring the future of intelligent apps, modern cloud-first development, and how AI agents are reshaping engineering. If you're passionate about next-gen tech, this is the session you cannot afford to miss.
📅 November 22, 2025
📍 Palace of Youth Creativity, Tashkent
✅ Secure your spot: Register Now
Stay tuned for more speaker announcements!
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