🚀 Daiwa Raises Gu Ming's Target Price to HKD 36
On April 13, according to Jin10, Daiwa released a research report raising the target price of Gu Ming (01364.HK) from HKD 35 to HKD 36, maintaining a 'buy' rating. This corresponds to a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 22 times for 2026. Daiwa noted that Gu Ming's takeaway proportion has decreased from a peak of 60% in the third quarter of last year to below 50%. The management expects this trend to continue, aiming to improve franchisee profitability through initiatives such as dine-in promotions, extending morning business hours, and increasing coffee sales. The firm has also raised its earnings per share forecast for Gu Ming from 2026 to 2028 by 6% to 12%.
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🚀 STOCKS | BlackRock CIO Warns of Potential Downgrade in Stock Earnings Due to Middle East Conflict
Helen Jewell, BlackRock's International Chief Investment Officer for Fundamental Equities, has indicated that the ongoing Middle East conflict could necessitate a reduction in stock earnings expectations. According to Jin10, Jewell noted that current earnings forecasts for this year remain high, ranging from 15% to 18%, suggesting significant room for downward adjustments. She expressed skepticism about the stability of earnings predictions in the consumer sector, particularly given the impact of interest rates and inflation stemming from the Middle East situation.
Preliminary signs indicate potential changes in earnings expectations. After weeks of analysts raising forecasts, Citigroup's U.S. Earnings Momentum Index turned negative last Friday, with downgrades outnumbering upgrades by the largest margin in nearly a year. Despite this, analysts' predictions remain optimistic amid high uncertainty and rising price pressures. Compiled data shows that the market generally expects the S&P 500's earnings per share to grow by 16% this year, marking the strongest performance since 2021.
The first-quarter earnings season is set to officially begin next week. Jewell highlighted that the potential for earnings growth in energy and materials stocks is offset by the downside risks in industries such as aviation, suggesting that overall earnings will remain relatively stable.
#stocks#BlackRock#MiddleEastConflict#earningsforecast#consumersector#interestrates#inflation#Citigroup#USearnings#S&P500 #energy#materials#aviation#investment