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The possibility of a mass prisoner exchange and a Christmas #ceasefire is on the table. It doesn’t matter how it got there; it is there. There are two things to do with it: accept it or reject it. One party has accepted it, while the other has apparently rejected it. But there are still several days until Christmas, let’s hope for the best! https://t.me/PM_ViktorOrban

#Israel intensified its attacks on #Gaza before the implementation of the long-awaited #ceasefire, with Western Media coverage failing to expose the full image.

Zelenskyy: Russia's ceasefire calls are cynical amid latest attacks, Ukraine will respond in kind [Read FullArticle] @WorldNews#Ukraine#Ceasefire#RussiaUkraineWar

Trump issues new threat to Iran's civilian infrastructure if a ceasefire isn't reached 'shortly' [Read FullArticle] @WorldNews#TrumpIran#Ceasefire#WorldNews

Ukraine Declares Ceasefire From Midnight Overnight May 5–6 [Read FullArticle] @WorldNews#Ukraine#Ceasefire#NewsUpdate

🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩 The ceasefire deal is linked directly to parallel negotiations aimed at a US-Iranian peace agreement. The conflict, begun by a US-Israeli attack on Iran on 28 February, is subject to a two-week Pakistani-brokered ceasefire that expires on 22 April. A first round of peace talks last weekend broke down after 21 hours of negotiations in Islamabad, and Pakistan’s army chief, Asim Munir, has been in Tehran trying to narrow the gaps between the parties. The continued Israeli campaign against Hezbollah has been a sticking point for Tehran, which insisted, with Pakistani agreement, that the original ceasefire had applied to Lebanon as well as Iran. Trump claimed that Iran has agreed to hand over its store of enriched uranium and that the two sides were “close” to a peace deal. “They’ve agreed to give us back the nuclear dust,” he said, using his name for the enriched uranium stockpile that the US says could be used to build nuclear weapons. “Not all parts of the energy industry will meet that test, though some parts might (if, for example, they are used to support the Iranian military). Moreover, the US military still must take precautions to limit harm to civilians and civilian objects regardless.” The paths to an enduring peace in Lebanon and Iran remain fraught and interlinked. Success or failure on one track could derail progress on the other. Israel wants the complete disarmament of Hezbollah – a challenge for the under-equipped Lebanese army, which has avoided confronting the armed group. Israeli bombing of Lebanon continued throughout Thursday’s talks, striking an ambulance in the city of Tebnine, south Lebanon, critically injuring two paramedics, according to Lebanon’s ministry of health. On the same day, Israel blew up the last remaining bridge into the city of Tyre, in effect cutting off the 30,000 or so residents of one of the largest cities in south Lebanon from the rest of the country. Its forces also blew up a school in the city of Marwahin, south Lebanon, as part of a campaign to raze entire villages across the region. Hezbollah has continued to fire rockets at northern Israel as well as target Israeli forces in south Lebanon. A ceasefire in Lebanon is likely to help lead to a resumption of US-Iranian negotiations, but those must address three complex issues: the reopening of the strait of Hormuz (currently mined and under competing blockades from both sides); the allowed extent of Iran’s nuclear programme; and a financial settlement for Iran. #iran#israel#ceasefire#lebanon#trump 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸

Netanyahu Shelled Houses in Lebanon, IDF Trundled Forward, Trump Announced a Ceasefire 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩 Trump has announced a 10-day ceasefire in Lebanon to be followed by a meeting between Israeli and Lebanese leaders next week, in a deal that it is hoped will bring progress toward a parallel peace agreement between the US and Iran. The ceasefire took effect at midnight on Thursday in Lebanon, where Israel has been conducting devastating airstrikes aimed at wiping out the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia. Netanyahu said the ceasefire offered an opportunity for a “historic peace agreement”, but insisted that the disarmament of Hezbollah remained a precondition. “We have an opportunity to make a historic peace agreement with Lebanon,” Netanyahu said in a televised speech, adding that Israel would maintain a 10km (6.2-mile) “security zone” along the border in southern Lebanon. Trump provided few other details, apart from the start time and length of the agreed truce. He later told reporters that “at the right time I would visit Lebanon”. The Lebanese army warned people displaced from southern Lebanon about returning home because of intermittent shelling that was reported after the ceasefire came into effect. The terms of the ceasefire, as provided by the US state department, prohibit Israel from offensive military actions in Lebanon. But they appear to leave more room for “self-defense,” including “against planned, imminent, or ongoing attacks”. The war in Iran spilled over into Lebanon when Hezbollah launched missile attacks on 2 March against Israel in solidarity with Tehran, triggering a ferocious Israeli response, including a ground invasion into southern Lebanon. It came 15 months after the last major conflict between the two sides. Israel has declared its intention to occupy southern Lebanon up to the Litani River, about 18 miles from its border, and it has continued to fight Hezbollah there in recent days. Lebanon will probably demand the complete withdrawal of Israeli forces, which Israel has said was a non-starter in the past. #iran#israel#ceasefire#lebanon#trump 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸

Iran rejects ceasefire proposal with US as war of words deepens [Read FullArticle] @WorldNews#IranUS#Ceasefire#MiddleEastNews

A Truce, A Shrug, A New War The cease-fire is holding just long enough for everyone to declare victory and keep moving the furniture around the room. Trump says he will “work closely with Iran,” Tehran says it won, and the Strait of Hormuz is supposed to reopen while nobody trusts the whole thing for a second. That is the modern peace deal: a pause with a deadline. Oil is cheaper, stocks are up, and more than 400 ships are still stuck in the Gulf like the war never quite left the dock. Israel is treating the truce as a permission slip, not a reset. It says the deal does not cover Lebanon, then keeps hammering Hezbollah anyway. So much for the elegant theory that one cease-fire can tidy up three wars and a shipping lane at once. Both sides claim victory because both sides need the headline more than the settlement. Trump gets his “deal,” Iran gets to say it stood up to Washington, and everyone else gets to live with the usual fine print: fragile, temporary, and one bad hour away from collapse. A cease-fire that depends on everybody’s self-respect is not much of a cease-fire. It is a timeout with better branding. #Iran#Trump#ceasefire#Hormuz#MiddleEast 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸

The starvation weapon is used for the first time in history against us! #FeedNorthGaza#CeaseFire

After 15 months of grueling war and displacement, #Palestinians are walking back to their homes in #Gaza following the #ceasefire.

🔠🅰️🔠🔠2️⃣ Beijing has every reason to step in. China is Iran’s largest oil customer and has invested billions in the country through the Belt and Road Initiative. A nuclear Iran or a never-ending Middle East war would threaten its energy lifelines and trade routes. Acting as a guarantor would also hand Beijing real leverage over Tehran, Washington, and the entire post-war setup—exactly the kind of great-power play it’s been looking for. Russia’s motives are narrower but still significant. Iranian drones are helping sustain its Ukraine conflict, but a nuclear-armed Iran creates its own problems in Central Asia and unsettles its partners. Negotiating a deal would also give Putin something he rarely finds: a convenient way to regain international respect. A realistic agreement could require Iran to verifiably dismantle its nuclear weapons program, transfer its enriched uranium to a third country, and accept strict international inspections for a limited civilian nuclear program. In return, it would get security assurances and sanctions relief. Proxy militias would be handled separately. It is not perfect for anyone. Israel would have to drop hopes of regime change. Washington would have to accept commitments that go beyond what Trump likely wants. Tehran would face tougher inspections than under the 2015 deal. And China and Russia would have to act as honest guarantors, a role neither has ever fully played. But both have practical reasons to make it work rather than watch the region slide into full nuclear chaos. Still, there is a far simpler path that none of the formal frameworks even considers because it requires no negotiations at all: Trump declares victory and walks away. Trump has to declare victory at this point. The ingredients are already in place. He can still credibly claim he set Iran’s nuclear program back, destroyed much of its navy and air force, hammered its missile sites, and eliminated key regime figures. His April 1 speech already laid the groundwork by signaling that the main objectives were nearly met. Continuing the war is becoming a political liability. Oil prices could push the economy into recession. A missile strike that kills American troops or a hostage situation that drags on could shift public opinion overnight. With negotiations going nowhere, staying in the fight offers only downsides. Most current diplomatic conversations completely ignore this very real possibility. Instead of facing it head-on, mediators keep chasing an impossible solution. They are missing the most likely outcome: this war will not be ended by any agreement. It will end when a president decides the story is over. That is not how wars usually end. But it may be exactly how this one does. #trump#iran#victory#ceasefire 📱American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸