TGINSIGHT CHAT
Devils Below
@devilsbelow
EconomicsAnalysis, daily updates on exploitation of Africa’s mineral wealth. 👀 Money flows, bribes, pollution - keeping you aware of what you would otherwise overlook.
Recent posts
Page 31 of 43 · 505 posts
Posted Nov 11
💡Resource Nationalism Index [ IVORY COAST ] How much chocolate do you eat on average per day?I hope not 5,500 tonnes - otherwise it would mean you wipe out the entire daily cocoa production of Ivory Coast, the world’s largest cocoa exporter. However, cocoa is not our department, in contrast to the country’s second-largest export item - gold, which becomes the topic of today's part ofour "Resource Nationalism Index" series. Today Côte d’Ivoire sells abroad $2.1 billion worth of gold, but how is this mineral wealth administered at home? 🔸"Process It First" – 0/10 – Côte d’Ivoire does not impose legal bans or strict requirements to refine or process minerals domestically before export. 🔸 "Share With the State” – 0/10 – There are no general domestic supply requirements forcing mining companies to sell a portion of mineral output to local industry or the state at controlled prices. 🔸 “We’re in Too!” – 4/10 – By law, the Ivorian government automatically receives a free, non-dilutable 10% equity stake in the capital of any mining company granted an exploitation permit. In addition, the state may negotiate to purchase up to an additional 15% ownership in the project company at market value. 🔸 “The Money's Yours, the People Are Ours" – 3/10 – Côte d’Ivoire’s mining law embeds local content principles, though it stops short of fixed quotas on local employees and subcontractors. 🔸“Just Pay Up" – 5/10 – 3% to 6% royalty on gross revenue (after deducting transport and refining costs), on a sliding scale indexed to the gold price. 🔸"You Come – You Build" – 6/10 – Mining companies must pay 0.5% of their annual turnover (revenue) into Local Community Development Fund. 🔸“We’ll Do It Ourselves” – 5/10 – Côte d’Ivoire maintains a direct presence in the mining sector through state-owned SODEMI (Société d’État pour le Développement Minier), a state mining company established in 1962. The government is courting international partners to set up a domestic gold refinery. 🔸“Come Here, You Bast*rd!” – 3/10 – Since the end of the civil conflict in 2011, no region of Côte d’Ivoire is held by insurgents or rebel forces – the government maintains sovereignty over all mining territories. However, the challenge comes from illegal artisanal mining, A recent government study found that roughly three times the country’s official gold production is being siphoned off by illegal mining and smuggling Ivory Coast falls behind all the countries that we observed before - mainly due to the complete absence of direct local processing requirements and the fact that the state does not demand any share of production to be transferred to it, in times when gold prices are extremely high. #IvoryCoast#ResourceNationalism Devils Below
Posted Nov 11
🇳🇬Touch Them and You'll Hear a Lot of Noise 🌐 Nigeria’s state oil company NNPCabandonedthe idea to sell country's 4 near-dead state-owned refineries. The managers await someone to create joint ventures with. ⏩Recently NIgeria has been extremely successful in attracting private investment into oil treatment 🔸However, there are still the 4 state-owned refineries - Port Harcourt, Kaduna and Warri plants - that stand as a testament to Abuja's failure, which had been working far below their capacity before 2019 and afterwards stopped. ⏩ Between 2019 and 2023 Nigeria approved $3 billion for repair works. In total the rescue attempts have cost about 18 billion dollars. 🔸If NNPC sold the refineries now, no investor would pay a price that covers even a small part of those. The market would price the plants as old, rusty, falling apart - as they actually are - and facing strong competition from Dangote refinery. Even if NNPC tried to sell them, it would only provoke a lot of ridicule and anger about the lost investments. There is no doubt that the NNPC is now hijacked by corruption and is being used by official elites to extract oil rents. However, it seems that as soon as the factories completely collapse, serious conversations will begin about who is to blame. Devils Below
Posted Nov 11
🇬🇭 How Gold Rots Societies Ordinary Ghanaians take up sticks against crime 🌐Villages in Ghana started to field their own patrols to guard rivers and forests against poisonous illegal gold mining. 🔸 Ghanaian villages now gather mining oversight squads, who patrol the closest areas on weekly basis in search of illegal miners, looking for milky brown water and fresh clearings. 🔸 When people's police forces catch suspects, they use citizen-arrest powers and hand them to the district police. ⏩ However, from here to lynch law is a short step. 🔸Communities now pushes for courts devoted exclusively to illegal mining cases, denmanding faster trials for those arrested. 🔸 Local observers assume that such groups operating without the supervision of security forces could commit human rights abuses, including ethnic targeting or stereotyping. The fault starts with the state that let enforcement fail and let reserves fall to armed groups. Not only illegal mining poisons soil, now it also destroys the fabric of society. Devils Below
Posted Nov 11
🌐 Weekly News Digest on West & Central Africa’s Mineral Industries [ November 4 – November 10 ] This was a week of loud inaugurations and unfortunate accidents. 💡Here are the key highlights: 🏦Mining 2030 - Investor Initiative - Investors propose to create an International Mineral Agency 🇦🇴Angola & Botswana - Botswana and Angola’s mines ministers met to discuss the purchase of De Beers 🇨🇩DR Congo - A tailings pond near Lubumbashi burst and sent acidic water into the city 🇨🇲Cameroon - Chinese-operated gold site set on fire after it ignored the “stay at home” call 🇬🇳Guinea - Guinea launched world’s largest high-grade iron-ore mine 🇲🇱Mali - Mali officially inaugurated its second lithium mine (which has been operational since February) 🇳🇪Niger - French media accused Niger of selling uranium to Russia - Turkey has completed the first phase at its gold field in Niger. 🇳🇬Nigeria - Nigeria has secured $50 billion to build Africa’s second-largest oil refinery 🇿🇲 Zambia - Companies redomicile in the US to get investments 🇿🇼Zimbabwe - 7 people dead due to a mine flooding #NewsDigest Devils Below
Posted Nov 10
🇳🇬Once Again - How Much??? 🌐Nigeria has secured $50 billion to build another Africa’s second-largest oil refinery in its Ondo State. ⏩$50 billion is equal to Cameroon's GDP, for comparison. 🔸 The project is led by Backbone Infrastructure Nigeria Limited and Canadian company NEFEX Holdings. However, the question of where the funds themselves will be raised remains unanswered. In its public materials, NEFEX claims it has access to "leading global financial institutions". ⏩Recently Nigeria has ceased to be an oil well for other countries. However, now it risks becoming a gas station. 🔸 A couple of mega-refineries can lift exports of refined fuel and keep more value inside the country. However, this also calls for a wider plan. People need factories, power projects, farms that process what they grow, and tech jobs that last through oil price cycles. Let's hope the momentum will be used to move the country forward on the path of industrialization. Nigeria is too big to settle for a UAE-like economy. Devils Below
Posted Nov 10
🇿🇼 The Cost of Negligence InZimbabwea group of seven miners went to an underground gold mine for another shift and never returned - because of flooding, or, more honestly, because of negligence. 🔸 The mine is located in the Silabela region where people depend on small pits and narrow tunnels for income. 🔸For several days it was believed that the lives could be saved. The men got trapped on Wednesday, and rescue efforts continued until the bodies were recovered on Friday. ⏩ There were all possibilities to prevent this 🔸It is the rainy season and authorities have recently urged miners to minimize operations, as makeshift shafts are particularly vulnerable to flooding. 🔸Such incidents happen too often in Zimbabwe: the last time miners were blocked underground was in September, and in 2024 there were at least two deadly accidents that received media coverage. Human rights activists claim more than a hundred miners have fallen prey to mine collapses over the recent years. This should never be the norm. Governments have a responsibility to enforce safety rules, and more importantly, to eradicate poverty, which pushes people into dangerous mines. Devils Below
Posted Nov 10
🇳🇪 Not the Easiest Place to Start 🌐Turkey’s energy minister Alparslan Bayraktar says Turkey has completed the first phase at its gold field in Niger. 🔸In October 2024 Ankara and Niamey signed a memorandum to work together in mining. A Turkish ministerial team also visited Niamey in July 2024 to deepen cooperation across energy, mining, and security. 🔸Turkey maintains its presence in Niger through MTA International Company - a state-run mining company, which has been engaged in exploration in Niger since 2020. ⏩This would be Turkey’s first overseas gold projectand Niger’s only industrial-scale gold operation. Samira Hill, long described as the country’s sole industrial gold mine, was nationalized in August 2025 and is in transition. Besides investments, it's a chance for Niger to diversify its network of partners beyond Paris - Beijin - Moscow triangle. Devils Below
Posted Nov 9
How Do Offshore Companies work? (not the way you think) [ #SetTheRecordStraight ] The British Virgin Islands citizens are very, very talented and enterprising. The Islands host about 360,000+ active companies while the islands have around 39,000 people. That is 9-10 companies per capita. ⏩ Many people think mining companies register offshore to avoid paying local taxes. Sadly, many are wrong. 🔸 For long time in most countries in Africa and beyond, foreign firms have been prohibited from holding mining rights directly. The law asks them to create a local subsidiary for the license and the day-to-day work. 🔸 As a result one cannot just register an offshore entity and forget about taxes, which are in any case charged on the local subsidiary. 🔸Yet companies continue to create intermediaries between the local subsidiary and the real owner, registered 5–7 thousand kilometres away from the pit. ⏩ So, why add an offshore layer? 🔸First, access to international capital. Big investors prefer to buy a slice of a neutral holding that can list in London or New York and follow familiar company law. 🔸The second thing is confidentiality. Offshore centres like Barbados or British Virgin Islands often do not disclose ownership structures to general public. Whether you are a geopolitics lover or a simple corruption enjoyer - hop on. 🔸 Finally, access to arbitration. It's convenient to have contracts governed by a system that courts and arbitrators know well. Mauritius is one such hub. It supports modern arbitration and even allows appeals to the UK Privy Council in some cases. ⏩ But can you still cut taxes?Of course, in some ways you can. 🔸 In many places, if you sell a mining company, you must pay tax on the sale. If there is a holding in the middle, the seller can trade that company instead of the local operator - thus, no exit tax. 🔸 Plus you can route part of your group’s work through the offshore holding. For example, accounting - then the local taxable profit goes down and more cash remains within the holding. As simple as that. However, in general offshore companies have lost a lot of their old shine. They no longer let poor multinational giants skip national budgets at will. Today they are mainly used for raising money, sharing risk, keeping paperwork clean. Devils Below
Posted Nov 9
💡Resource Nationalism Index [ GHANA ] Ghana is one of our favourite countries in the West Africa. Some time ago people used to call it "Gold Coast" for there is so much gold in Ghana that it almost literally lies underfoot. However, when resources are abundant, they are also hard to control. Let's look into how Ghana copes with its wealth inour "Resource Nationalism Index" series. Not surprising, gold is by far Ghana’s leading mineral export. Also Ghana exports some crude oil. So, what do the policies of Ghana in relation to its natural wealth look like? 🔸"Process It First" – 2/10 – Ghana has announced plans to impose some bans on unprocessed materials exports, however, even this only concerns minerals like bauxite, lithium and so on - without any restrictions on gold. 🔸 "Share With the State” – 6/10 – The government has the first right to purchase any minerals produced in Ghana before they are sold externally, should the government need those minerals for local industries or strategic purposes. Besides, Ghana's Gold Board has a monopoly to buy gold from small-scale miners. 🔸 “We’re in Too!” – 6/10 – The government is entitled by law to a free carried interest of 10% + large mining rights holders are required to list at least 20% of their equity on the Ghana Stock Exchange. 🔸 “The Money's Yours, the People Are Ours" – 9/10 – All small-scale mining is reserved for Ghanaian citizens, and in large-scale mining almost all employments must be localized within 3 years of operations. 🔸“Just Pay Up" – 3/10 – For gold and other major minerals, the government’s revenue take includes only a 5% gross flat royalty. 🔸"You Come – You Build" – 2/10 – Currently there is no separate community development requirements, however Ghana’s government has announced plans to introduce ones. 🔸“We’ll Do It Ourselves” – 8/10 – New manufacturing entities in Ghana’s free zones may get a 10-year tax holiday. Additionally, Ghana has two major state corporations producing aluminium and iron, and a state-run oil producer GNPC. The state supports local gold refineries. Ghana also has a sovereign Minerals Income Investment Fund which takes stakes in mining. 🔸“Come Here, You Bast*rd!” – 3/10 – there are no rebel groups, however, Ghana faces a serious challenge with illegal mining operations, locally called “galamsey”, which account roughly for 30% of the country's gold production. Ghana gets a final score of 4.9 out of 10. Ghana is a country of contrasts - widespread illegal mining, primitive taxation and absence of raw exports restrictions coexist with strong local personnel promotion and the state's proactive role in investments. #Ghana#ResourceNationalism Devils Below
Hashtags
Posted Nov 9
🥡 I'd like 60 to go [ #MineralsInNumbers ] How much money can a normal man earn in his life? Can it be $11 million? ⏩ Maybe yes, maybe no. But this - $11 million - is how much of mineral wealth is being sold to China by African countries each hour. 🔸 In 2024 China imported about $116.8 billion from Africa, of which resource sales to China made up around $95–$102 billion - call it about $100 billion. 🔸The leading suppliers of the PRC in Africa are DRC for copper and cobalt (about $21.9 billion), Angola for crude oil (about $17.6 billion), South Africa for iron ore, gold and manganese, Guinea for bauxite (roughly $7.6 billion), then Zambia (copper), Republic of the Congo (crude) and Gabon (manganese and oil). ⏩ I bet you've never held such sums in your hands - neither have I. So, for better understanding - $100 billion equals close to 66 times the cost of the famous Burj Khalifa, commonly benchmarked near $1.5 billion. 🔸 Sadly, this is not enough to reach the moon. However this number would suffice to put at least one Burj Khalifa in each African country - and we would still have around 10 spare towers. Given that enormous amounts of money, paid by the PRC for resources, do you feel like there could be a Burj Khalifa in your parts? Devils Below
Hashtags
Posted Nov 9
🇦🇪UAE: Neocolonial Power or Intermediary [ #InterestsAndAssets ] UAE's Interests in Africa's Gold ⏩ Have you ever wondered why Switzerland is associated with gold and jewels? 🔸For decades, Switzerland was a place where the business interests of rivals could meet. Nazi Germany and the Allies, then NATO and the USSR, all found a neutral marketplace there. ⏩ Today that kind of place is Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. In 2024 alone the UAE imported 748 tonnes of gold from African countries which almost matches the entire volume of Africa's official gold production. Let’s look at where exactly African gold in the UAE comes from. 🔸First, there are legal Emirati investments in a number of major gold producers in Mali, Sudan and Ghana. The key projects are: 🔸Sadiola complex, Mali — UAE-linked Ambrosia Investment Holding holds 50% of Allied Gold’s operations at the Sadiola gold mine in the eastern Mali. 🔸Asante Gold, Ghana — UAE-linked Fujairah Holding and Emiral Resources hold significant shares of Bibiani and Chirano gold mines in Ghana. 🔸Alliance for Mining, Sudan — UAE-linked Emiral Resources’ subsidiary operates the country’s largest gold mine in Sudan’s in Red Sea State. 🔸Second, there is almostlegal international trade The UAE provides excellent conditions for gold trading - there is practically no transparency and compliance with international standards. Many governments use this quite openly and officially - at UAE refineries, gold from Rwanda (from the DRC) is found along with sanctioned gold from Russia. 🔸Finally, criminal networks The light-touch environment does not only benefit clever governments. It also helps armed groups who seize gold and buy weapons with the proceeds. One way to spot this is a gap between what Country X says it exported and what Dubai says it imported from Country X. The biggest gaps show up in: 🔸 Mali - 95 t 🔸 Ghana - 85 t 🔸 Niger - 45 t 🔸 Nigeria - 40 t 🔸 Uganda - 35 t ⏩ Sometimes the UAE even supports the insurgents itself - only over the last weeks we’ve learned a lot about how interested Emirati groups support the RSF in Sudan and the Islamists in Mali, from whom the UAE bought two hostages for $50-70 million. None of this means the UAE is the mastermind of a new colonial project, though. It shows that big business and organized crime always find it easier to meet in places where undercover affairs are allowed If the UAE didn't exist, another small, but trade-loving country would take its place. Devils Below
Hashtags
Posted Nov 8
🇨🇩 DRC: Battle for Gold [ #Investigation ] Chapter 3: A Bigger Fish Picture this: a man sipping coffee on the Caribbean coast, breathing in the humid Colombian air. A month later, he’s appointed special envoyof the Congolese president, trying to navigate the twists of local politics — or rather, to find out where money might be siphoned from. ⏩ This is how the second key player enters our story — Luc Gérard Nyafé — whose group of companies called Stratégos is still fighting Kasongo's Shomka Resources for ownership of Banro’s former assets. 🔸Nyafé is believed to be a South American businessman of Congolese origin who made his fortune in Colombia managing the investment fund Tribeca Asset Management, the Stratégos Group, and two mining firms — Auplata Mining Group and La Compagnie Minière de Touissit (Morocco). 🔸In the DRC, he was virtually unknown until 2019, when he suddenly appeared at a meeting with President Tshisekedi in February 2019 (just a month after Tshisekedi had been sworn in himself) and was soon appointed his special envoy. 🔸 Luc Gérard Nyafé adapted quickly. Within a year of his appointment, one of his companies — Stratégos Group LLC — was selected as the contractor for the Special Economic Zone Maluku project near Kinshasa. By September 2021, it was already known that Stratégos planned to buy Banro’s assets. ⏩ At this point, Kasongo’s illegal scheme encountered an unexpected obstacle — the ambitions of the new president’s favorite. 🔸 Apparently, at some point Banro changed its mind about giving away its assets for free and demanded that Shomka withdraw from the site. Instead, in December 2022 Banro reached an agreement to sell its assets to Luc Gérard Nyafé, although the details of that deal remain unknown. 🔸The only information available suggests that Nyafé sought Chinese investors for the purchase, as the holding that took ownership of the assets was named Oriental Jinzi (see the letter from Stratégos to Namoya Mining S.A. employees below). Locals believe that the investor is the company Zinji, noting the syllable swap “Zin-ji” / “Jin-zi,” although in Chinese "Jinzi" simply means “gold.” ⏩ But even here, things didn’t go as planned. 🔸First, the special envoy apparently fell out of favor quite quickly — in April 2022 Stratégos Group LLC lost the right to develop the SEZ, and by April 2023 Nyafé had left his post entirely. 🔸 Second, it appears that before Nyafé entered the scene, in 2021, the Commercial Court of Kinshasa had already approved a debt settlement agreement between Banro and its creditors, leaving Shomka with certain residual rights to the mines. It’s quite possible that the settlement reached in April 2021, under the supervision of the court, allows Shomka to claim not monetary compensation but an actual equity stake — one that Stratégos now refuses to share. To this day, Nyafé and Kasongo continue to dispute ownership of the mines — which, in the meantime, remain idle. Who will eventually come out victorious in this story? Nobody knows. What we can tell for sure is who will actually lose - it is ordinary Congolese who will lose the most - jobs and tax revenues, while big guys try to sort things out. Devils Below
Hashtags