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Stacy in Dataland (´⊙~⊙`)

@muur_posts

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Stacy Muur’s alpha channel. 𝕏: https://x.com/stacy_muur Blog: https://stacymuur.substack.com Chat: @muur_talks

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Lehekülg 13 / 84 · 1,000 postitust

Avaldatud 3. apr

Drift turned into one of the largest Solana exploits, over $285M drained after a multi-sig compromise that let the attacker take admin control. The exploit itself was an orchestration: fake collateral (CVT), oracle manipulation, then cross-margining into real assets like SOL, ETH, BTC and JLP. The result is $DRIFT down 20% and ~130K ETH already bridged out, which means this is now a liquidity event. Where the failure happened? Not in DeFi logic, but in key management and oracle assumptions. My view is that this pushes the market further toward stricter oracle design, isolated collateral models, and institutional-grade key management.

1,010 views

Avaldatud 3. apr

Polymarket open interest is back near election highs, but the structure has changed. Previously, over $500M was concentrated in a single narrative, the US presidential election. Now the same level of capital is distributed across geopolitics, sports, macro, crypto, and culture. It shows the platform is no longer driven by one-off events, but by continuous demand for onchain prediction markets. This is early product-market fit. When liquidity spreads across multiple categories instead of clustering around a single catalyst, it signals a transition from hype to a sustainable market.

867 views

Avaldatud 2. apr

Apps are starting to outperform chains. RWA and stablecoin issuers like SKY and Centrifuge held positive price momentum, while major L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism were still deep in the red despite strong activity and volume. Value is moving up the stack, from infrastructure to applications that capture real cash flows. Investors are starting to care less about blockspace and more about who actually owns the liquidity and earns on it. If this trend continues, capital will keep rotating from chains into protocols that monetize real usage.

882 views

Avaldatud 2. apr

Stablecoin supply crossed $294B, but structure matters more than size. USDT still dominates with ~62% share, keeping liquidity concentrated, while USDC remains the only real competitor at scale. USDS and USDe are growing on yield, while PayPal and Ripple push distribution with PYUSD and RLUSD. DeFi stables like crvUSD are still holding ground.

849 views

Avaldatud 2. apr

RWA went from $1B to $27B in ~3 years. Treasuries leading growth. Private credit holding the largest share. Institutions are also here: JPM moving $2B daily, Robinhood bringing tokenized equities on-chain. Looks unstoppable, but zoom out. This growth is built on one thing: yield + rates. RWAs are working because TradFi returns are attractive. If macro shifts, flows can too.

824 views

Avaldatud 1. apr

The whole market today is a joke… or is it? Let’s break it down ↓ General ➖ DL Research: Crypto hackers armed with AI stand to make millions of dollars attacking old code ➖ Galaxy: Weekly Top Stories - 03/27/26 ➖ Galaxy: Polymarket's Fees Era Begins, Aave/Tether Integrate the Creator Economy Market ➖ DL Research: When markets stop closing: Binance and the shift to 24/7 finance ➖ CoinShares: Market update | March 27th, 2026 ➖ CoinShares: Equities update | March 27th, 2026 ➖ CoinShares: Digital asset fund flows | March 30th, 2026 ➖ 4pillars: Keep an Eye on Korea’s Institutional ETH Staking Market This Year ➖ Coinbase: Volatility Drives Discipline, Not Retreat ➖ Glassnode: BTC Market Pulse: Week 14 DeFi ➖ The Defiant: DeFi Generated $8 Billion in Onchain Yield in 2025: Analysis Blockchains & networks ➖ 4pillars: Solana: Built on Innovation, Slowed by Incentives ➖ 4pillars: Pharos's Blueprint for Institutional-Grade Financial Infrastructure Tokens & currencies ➖ 4pillars: Web3 Business Playbook: Mastercard ➖ 4pillars: SBI’s Full-Stack Strategy: A Dominant Player in Japan’s Digital Asset Market

833 views

Avaldatud 1. apr

Solana RWA holders up +440% YoY. 218K wallets across stocks, funds, commodities. ETH still dominates in size, but Solana is winning distribution. More wallets → more flow → eventually more TVL. Follow users, capital follows next.

833 views

Avaldatud 1. apr

Lido considering a $20M buyback. Up to 10,000 stETH → buying LDO ≈ 8% of circulating supply At the same time: LDO/ETH ratio at ~0.00016, which means ~70% below historical levels. Protocol still dominates liquid staking, revenue intact, usage there, price got nuked with the rest of ETH beta. My take: this is a classic “fundamentals vs sentiment” setup. If DAO steps in to absorb supply here, insiders will see value where market sees dead weight.

816 views

Avaldatud 31. märts

ETH Q1 looks bad on paper. -32.8% QoQ, but March closed green (+1.3%). That resilience hides what really happened: • $5.4B liquidations nuked leverage • L2s ate fees → burn collapsed → inflation back • Macro flipped risk-off (oil, gold > crypto) Meanwhile, activity has reached ATH. So price ↓, usage ↑. ETH is stuck between two regimes: Short term → macro liquidity + broken fee model Long term → still the settlement layer everyone builds on Disconnect like this doesn’t last forever.

932 views

Avaldatud 31. märts

Ethereum eating RWA market share. 61% of all tokenized assets now sit on ETH: → ~$206B settled → +40% YoY growth Pure consolidation. RWAs aren’t a multi-chain race yet. They’re still an Ethereum gravity game.

799 views

Avaldatud 31. märts

Neobanks are running two payment systems at once. Revolut already did ~$10B in stablecoin volume, Nubank pushing crypto custody into US banking. Card rails still dominate merchants but growth is happening on stablecoins. That’s the key divergence. Legacy = trusted, slow, expensive Stablecoins = fast, global, composable This won’t flip overnight, but once merchants start optimizing for margins, stablecoin rails win. Whoever captures merchant flow controls the next payment stack. And crypto is already sitting in the backend waiting.

830 views

Avaldatud 30. märts

Stablecoins are $300B+ but most of that capital is still just sitting or looping in DeFi. The missing piece has always been real credit demand. KUSD is interesting because it flips the model: yield comes from actual borrowers (trade finance, payments), not token incentives. Instead of farming, you’re financing real activity. Instead of emissions, you get cash flow. This is where stablecoins start becoming financial infrastructure, not just liquidity. If this works, DeFi yield finally gets anchored in the real economy.

860 views
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