Post #16046

Trade Dynamic: The key wildcard is BoJ intervention. There’s no confirmed level, but historically the market reacts around 160–162 USD/JPY, which indirectly matters here. What makes this setup interesting: positive carry on shorts. CHF/JPY is one of the rare XXX/JPY pairs where you actually get paid to hold a short—changing the risk profile for swing positioning. You’ve got an EdgeFinder score leaning bearish, central bank alignment, weakening technicals, and favorable carry, but no confirmation yet. Until intervention hits, this is still a high-risk fade of a strong trend. - Alan