@neweasternoutlook · Post #12409 · 06.03.2026 г., 11:32
🇦🇪🆚🇸🇦Desert Duel: Saudi Arabia and the UAE’s Struggle for Gulf Supremacy Growing strategic competition between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates is reshaping political dynamics across the Gulf and the Red Sea, challenging the perception of a unified Arab regional order ✍️Salman Rafi Sheikh is a research analyst of international relations and Pakistan’s foreign and domestic affairs ➡️For years, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were widely perceived as closely aligned partners shaping a new political order in the Middle East. Their coordination in regional conflicts, particularly in Yemen, and their shared opposition to Islamist movements suggested a durable strategic partnership extending from the Gulf to the Horn of Africa. However, recent developments reveal growing tensions beneath this façade. What once appeared as strategic alignment is increasingly evolving into a competitive relationship, driven by Riyadh’s determination to reassert its primacy in the Gulf and reduce the UAE’s expanding regional influence. It is a contest over who sets the economic rules of the Gulf, who anchors the Red Sea order, and who speaks for the Arab world’s new pragmatism ➡️The divergence is particularly visible in Yemen, where the two states have gradually pursued different strategic objectives. While Saudi Arabia has continued to support Yemen’s internationally recognized government and emphasized maintaining the country’s territorial unity, the UAE has cultivated ties with southern separatist groups such as the Southern Transitional Council. Emirati strategy has focused on securing influence over key maritime infrastructure, including the port of Aden and other positions along Yemen’s southern coastline. These differing priorities have generated friction, especially as southern forces expanded their territorial control, prompting Saudi pressure that reportedly forced an Emirati withdrawal from some strategic positions. Similar patterns of competition are also emerging in Sudan and across the Horn of Africa, where both states are investing in political influence, mediation efforts, and control over maritime routes. 🟦At a deeper level, this rivalry reflects structural shifts within the Gulf itself. For decades Saudi Arabia functioned as the dominant political center of the Gulf Cooperation Council, but the UAE’s economic dynamism and assertive foreign policy allowed it to project influence well beyond its size. Saudi Arabia’s ambitious transformation agenda under Vision 2030 aims to reverse that trend by positioning Riyadh as the region’s primary economic and political hub. Economic competition, including efforts to attract multinational headquarters and disputes over energy policy within OPEC+, has therefore begun to intersect with geopolitical competition. If not carefully managed, this growing rivalry could fragment regional mediation efforts, intensify strategic competition along the Red Sea corridor, and reshape the balance of power within the Gulf and the wider Middle East. #geoeconomics#Geopolitics#KingdomofSaudiArabia#UAE READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook