🚀 Market Focus Shifts to U.S.-Iran Talks Amid Inflation Concerns
Foreign exchange analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta noted that the market's attention is currently centered on the U.S.-Iran negotiations. According to Jin10, the inflation data for March, widely attributed to the ongoing conflict, is likely to be overlooked as the outcome of the talks takes precedence. While there is significant divergence in predictions for the overall CPI, forecasts for the core CPI are more aligned. The Federal Reserve maintains a neutral stance but has indicated readiness to tighten policies further if inflation expectations rise or if the conflict extends longer than anticipated. The market anticipates a 7 basis point easing by the end of the year, suggesting no changes in interest rates are expected in 2026.
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🚀 Goldman Sachs Predicts Singapore's Monetary Policy Tightening
Goldman Sachs has released a report suggesting that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) may implement a 'moderate' monetary policy tightening this month. According to Jin10, the report emphasizes that MAS's primary goal is to stabilize core inflation. Given the upward risks to the core inflation outlook, a tighter monetary policy stance is deemed necessary. However, Goldman Sachs also notes that oil shocks typically exacerbate stagflation risks, and the duration of Middle Eastern conflicts remains highly uncertain. Goldman Sachs forecasts that MAS will increase the slope of the Singapore dollar's nominal effective exchange rate policy band by 50 basis points, while maintaining the width and level of the band unchanged. The Monetary Authority of Singapore is scheduled to release its monetary policy statement this Tuesday.
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