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暂不倾向加息。 #ECB 欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，欧元区目前处于"基准情景与不利情景之间"（不利情景预计通胀峰值将达到4.2%）。她同时否认欧洲央行存在收紧货币政策的政策偏向，称该行的指引核心是"以金融稳定为前提的价格稳定"。

欧洲央行行长拉加德：若当前能源成本飙升引发更广泛的通胀，央行将果断迅速行动。实现中期2%通胀目标的承诺是无条件的。 #ECB

欧央行管理委员会成员、比利时央行行长Pierre Wunsch表示，若伊朗冲突未能在六月前结束，欧央行"极有可能"不得不采取行动。其对市场目前定价的今年至少两次加息持"认可"态度。#ECB#加息

欧洲央行连续第六次按兵不动，中东战事令欧元区前景高度不确定。 拉加德警告伊朗冲突对通胀构成实质性影响，呼吁政府应对能源危机时别用力过猛。 在更不利的情景下——如果霍尔木兹海峡的石油和天然气供应受到更强且更持久的冲击，2026年通胀可能升至3.5%。在严重情景中，如果能源价格长时间维持高位，整体通胀在2026年甚至可能高达4.4%。 欧洲央行特别关注所谓的“第二轮效应”，即最初的能源冲击扩散至工资、服务和核心通胀。拉加德表示：“如果持续存在，更高的能源价格可能通过间接和第二轮效应引发更广泛的通胀上升——这一情况需要密切监测。” 拉加德表示： 管理委员会强调，在保持公共财政稳健的同时，迫切需要加强欧元区经济。针对能源价格冲击的任何财政应对措施，都应是临时性的、有针对性的，并且量身定制。 #ECB#财政纪律

能源价格飙升引发通胀担忧，利率互换市场目前定价欧洲央行年内两次25基点加息，最早6月启动首次加息，而上周市场仅预期一次加息。#ECB 货币市场定价英国央行年内加息15基点，在美伊冲突之前，市场还预期英国央行今年两次25基点的降息。#BoE

【📜 政策監理｜ECB 與三大歐洲支付標準組織簽約：數位歐元採開放歐洲標準、降低部署門檻】 歐洲央行 4/24 與 ECPC、nexo、Berlin Group 三家歐洲支付標準組織簽約，以 CPACE（NFC tap-to-pay）、nexo（商家-PSP-收單）、Berlin Group（代稱支付）作為數位歐元線上支付基礎，降低市場部署門檻、減少對國際專有標準依賴。 #ECB#數位歐元#CBDC 📍閱讀全文： https://abmedia.io/ecb-digital-euro-european-payment-standards-ecpc-nexo-berlin-group

📰Top News and Events for the Upcoming Week (Sept 29–5 October, 2025) for Gold and Forex Hey traders! 👋 This week, gold and forex markets are buzzing with US jobs data, ECB rate decision, and BoJ hints on hikes amid sticky inflation and USD weakness. Fresh non-farm payrolls (Oct 3) could confirm another Fed cut, boosting gold toward $3,850 while pressuring DXY below 97. But strong US data or a hawkish ECB might spark a USD rebound and gold pullback. Key pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY are primed for swings. Here’s a day-by-day breakdown for your trades – let’s get ready! 📈 📱Follow @shadowtraderfx for more! ✅Monday, September 29, 2025 📎Gold: Week kicks off with Chicago PMI (USD, 9:45 ET) – weak reading could fuel safe-haven flows, pushing XAU/USD above $3,820. Consolidation likely around $3,800–$3,810, but profit-taking eyes $3,780 support. 📎Forex: EUR/USD hovers near 1.1150 ahead of ECB; GBP/USD at 1.3250 tests resistance. USD/JPY sideways below 148 amid JPY caution (support 147.5). Key event: Consumer Confidence (USD, 10:00 ET) – soft data weakens DXY. 💡 Tip: Low volume Monday; position for breakouts post-PMI. ✅Tuesday, September 30, 2025 📎Gold: FOMC minutes (2:00 ET) in focus – dovish tone keeps gold bullish toward $3,840; hawkish surprises (tariffs/inflation) may dip to $3,790. Central bank buying supportive. 📎Forex: German CPI (EUR, 8:00 ET) and US Job Openings (JOLTS, 10:00 ET) drive action. Weak JOLTS boosts EUR/USD to 1.1200; hot CPI pressures euro lower. GBP/USD eyes UK data later; USD/JPY may climb to 148.5 on USD strength. 💡 Tip: DXY vulnerable below 97 – watch for EUR/USD lift on soft US jobs preview. ✅Wednesday, October 1, 2025 📎Gold: ADP Employment (USD, 8:15 ET) sets tone for NFP – below-expectations print sends gold surging to $3,850+ (USD weakness). Strong data tests $3,770 support. 📎Forex: ADP dominates pre-NFP; ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD, 10:00 ET) adds volatility. Dovish signals lift EUR/USD to 1.1250, GBP/USD to 1.3300. USD/JPY risks drop to 147 if JPY safe-haven bids rise. 💡 Tip: High-impact day – scale in trades, tighten stops amid NFP hype. ✅Thursday, October 2, 2025 📎Gold: NFP day! Non-farm payrolls (8:30 ET) and unemployment rate key – weaker-than-expected (forecast 150K jobs) drives gold to new highs above $3,860. Hot data pulls to $3,750. 📎Forex: NFP rules – soft numbers weaken USD, pushing EUR/USD to 1.1300, GBP/USD to 1.3350. USD/JPY could slide to 146.5 on risk-off. Watch BoJ summary for hike clues. 💡 Tip: Volatility spike expected – use limit orders, avoid over-leverage. ✅Friday, October 3, 2025 📎Gold: Post-NFP digestion + ECB rate decision (7:15 ET). Unchanged rates but dovish Lagarde comments keep gold above $3,830; hawkish tilt tests $3,780. Weekly close bullish if USD softens. 📎Forex: ECB presser (8:30 ET) impacts EUR/USD (resistance 1.1280). US ISM Services PMI (10:00 ET) and Michigan Sentiment round out. GBP/USD consolidates; USD/JPY awaits BoJ fallout, potential 149 breakout on yen weakness. 💡 Tip: Close longs early if ECB hawkish – manage weekend risk. ✅Saturday & Sunday, October 4–5, 2025 (Markets Closed) 📎Gold & Forex: Review NFP, ECB, and BoJ outcomes. Forecast: Gold up 1–3% weekly on Fed cut bets; DXY tests 96.5 if jobs weak. 💡 Tip: Gear up for next week’s CPI data and trade war updates. 🔎Weekly Summary: NFP and ECB steal the show – weak US jobs fuel USD weakness and gold rally, but inflation risks from tariffs could flip sentiment. Forex pairs volatile, so risk management is key. Drop your thoughts in the comments! 💬 ✉️Stay updated with @shadowtraderfx #Gold#Forex#NFP#ECB#XAUUSD#EURUSD

ECB Ready for Decisive Action Amid Inflation Threat from Middle East Crisis ECB President Christine Lagarde stated the bank will respond swiftly to inflation risks driven by rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict. While currently gathering data, she emphasized that hesitation is unacceptable. If inflation significantly exceeds the 2% target, a “measured policy adjustment” may follow. The ECB remains committed to price stability over the medium term. #ECB#inflation#energyprices#Europe#economy The main news of Russia and the world ishere.

🚀 ECB Rate Hike Probability Rises to 50% for April The probability of the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates in April has increased to 50%, according to recent pricing in the money markets. According to Jin10, this marks a significant rise from last Friday when the likelihood was estimated at around 20%. The shift in market expectations reflects growing anticipation of monetary policy adjustments by the ECB. #ECB#RateHike#InterestRates#MonetaryPolicy#MarketExpectations#Eurozone

🚀 ECB Official: War Duration to Determine Economic Impact European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Slapyn emphasizes that the duration of ongoing conflicts will play a crucial role in determining their economic impact. According to Jin10, Slapyn stated that the ECB is prepared to take necessary actions to maintain inflation rates at target levels. The central bank remains vigilant and ready to respond to any developments that may affect the economic stability of the region. #ECB#EuropeanCentralBank#Economy#Inflation#MonetaryPolicy#WarImpact#EconomicStability

Sony Launches Blockchain Platform Soneium Sony's public blockchain platform, *Soneium*, has officially launched on the mainnet. This initiative aims to enhance its technology offerings in the blockchain space. Read more here. In a historic move, Italy's largest bank, *Intesa Sanpaolo*, has purchased 11 bitcoins valued at around €1 million, marking the first direct crypto transaction by a financial institution in Italy. Details can be found here. FTX/Alameda has redeemed and transferred 182,421 SOL (approx. $32.35M) today, raising the total since last November to 4.445M SOL (approx. $516.88M). The staked address currently holds 6.47 million SOL (approx. $1.18B). More information here. The US Court of Appeals ruled in favor of *Coinbase* in its case against the SEC, deeming the SEC's denial of rulemaking as “arbitrary and capricious.” This case revolves around establishing rules for digitally native asset securities. For further reading, click here. #Sony#Blockchain#Soneium#Bitcoin#ECB#Italy#IntesaSanpaolo#CryptoTransactions#FTX#SOL#Coinbase#SEC#DeFi#DigitalAssets#Cryptocurrency#Finance#Investing#VentureCapital#CryptoNews#CryptoMarket

🚀 ECB Supports ESMA Oversight of Major Cross-Border Financial Firms The European Central Bank (ECB) has expressed its support for a European Commission proposal to grant the Paris-based European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) direct oversight of significant cross-border financial firms, including large crypto asset service providers. According to NS3.AI, this move marks a shift from the current Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, where national regulators are responsible for supervising crypto asset service providers (CASPs), while ESMA primarily plays a coordinating role. Although the ECB's opinion is non-binding, the proposal will now proceed to negotiations among EU member states and the European Parliament. #ECB#ESMA#EuropeanCommission#CrossBorderFinance#CryptoAssets#MiCA#FinancialRegulation#EUParliament#CASPs