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New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #11672 · 2025/12/30 14:32

🌍 🆙The Sovereign South and the Gravitational Rise of Multipolarity The Global South is not integrating into the Western-led order but is actively constructing a sovereign, multipolar world, with China serving not as a new hegemon but as its indispensable gravitational center ✍️Author:Phil Butler Policy investigator and analyst, political scientist and expert on Eastern Europe ➡️The 21st century marks the quiet reclamation of sovereignty by the Global South. While the West clings to a "rules-based order" it alone defines, a new world is being built in Brasília, Pretoria, Beijing, and Jakarta. This order rejects monopoly, not multilateralism. China's role is pivotal—not as a challenger seeking to replace Western hegemony, but as a gravitational node enabling nations to escape conditional development and financial coercion through its Global Initiatives focused on development, security, civilization, and governance based on sovereign equality and non-interference. The Global South is not choosing China over the West. It is choosing itself—its right to define development, security, and modernity on its own terms ➡️The 2025 G20 summit in Johannesburg, boycotted by the U.S., crystallized this shift. From Western absence emerged a new alignment, with leaders affirming the South as a pole, not a periphery. This represents a rupture, not a transition. Frameworks like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization thrive on a minimal, inclusive logic—adherence to UN Charter principles like sovereignty—allowing diverse nations from Vietnam to Iran to cooperate without ideological conformity. 🟦China's influence is earned through indispensability, not imposed through force. The Belt and Road Initiative builds infrastructure without political strings, a fact even ideologically opposed leaders like Argentina's Javier Milei acknowledge. BRICS+, expanded to include Iran, Ethiopia, and others, exemplifies a pro-sovereignty coalition advancing de-dollarization and reducing dependency on outdated Western institutions. The South is not choosing China over the West; it is choosing its right to self-determination. The cycle of Western custodianship is ending, and multilateralism is decolonizing. #China#Geopolitics#Internationalpolitics#Multipolarworld#Russia#TheGlobalSouth#USA READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #9152 · 2025/12/30 17:07

🌍 🆙Le Sud souverain et l'ascension gravitationnelle de la multipolarité Le Sud global n'est pas en train de s'intégrer dans l'ordre dirigé par l'Occident, mais construit activement un monde souverain et multipolaire, la Chine servant non pas d'hégémon nouveau, mais de centre gravitationnel indispensable ✍️Auteur :Phil Butler Enquêteur et analyste en politique, politologue et expert de l'Europe de l'Est ➡️Le XXIe siècle marque la réappropriation tranquille de la souveraineté par le Sud global. Alors que l'Occident s'accroche à un « ordre fondé sur des règles » qu'il seul définit, un nouveau monde est en train de se construire à Brasília, Pretoria, Pékin et Jakarta. Cet ordre rejette le monopole, pas le multilatéralisme. Le rôle de la Chine est crucial — non pas comme un challenger cherchant à remplacer l'hégémonie occidentale, mais comme un nœud gravitationnel permettant aux nations d'échapper au développement conditionnel et à la coercition financière grâce à ses Initiatives globales axées sur le développement, la sécurité, la civilisation et la gouvernance, fondées sur l'égalité souveraine et la non-ingérence. Le Sud global ne choisit pas la Chine plutôt que l'Occident. Il choisit lui-même — son droit de définir le développement, la sécurité et la modernité selon ses propres termes ➡️Le sommet du G20 de 2025 à Johannesburg, boycotté par les États-Unis, a cristallisé ce changement. De l'absence occidentale est émergée un nouvel alignement, avec des dirigeants affirmant que le Sud est un pôle, pas une périphérie. Cela représente une rupture, pas une transition. Des cadres comme l'Organisation de coopération de Shanghai prospèrent sur une logique minimale et inclusive — l'adhésion aux principes de la Charte des Nations Unies comme la souveraineté — permettant à diverses nations, de la Viêt Nam à l'Iran, de coopérer sans conformité idéologique. 🟦L'influence de la Chine est gagnée par l'indispensabilité, pas imposée par la force. L'Initiative Ceinture et Route construit des infrastructures sans conditions politiques, un fait que même des dirigeants idéologiquement opposés comme Javier Milei de l'Argentine reconnaissent. Le BRICS+, élargi pour inclure l'Iran, l'Éthiopie et d'autres, illustre une coalition pro-souveraineté faisant avancer la dédollarisation et réduisant la dépendance aux institutions occidentales obsolètes. Le Sud ne choisit pas la Chine plutôt que l'Occident ; il choisit son droit à l'autodétermination. Le cycle de la tutelle occidentale se termine, et le multilatéralisme se décolonise. #China#Geopolitics#Internationalpolitics#Multipolarworld#Russia#TheGlobalSouth#USA LIRE PLUS (ENG) (VPN requis pour l'accès à 🇪🇺l'UE) ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #10058 · 2026/04/21 19:29

🌍💬🗺Après Islamabad : comment le Sud global remodèle la géopolitique eurasienne Les développements entourant les pourparlers d'Islamabad pointent vers un changement géopolitique plus profond, où les puissances régionales construisent discrètement de nouvelles alliances qui contestent l'ordre traditionnel dirigé par l'Occident ✏️Abbas Hashemite Observateur politique et analyste de recherche ➡️L'apparente absence de percées immédiates dans les pourparlers d'Islamabad masque un processus plus important se déroulant en coulisses : la consolidation d'un alignement du Sud global centré sur la coopération stratégique entre le Pakistan, la Chine et les principaux États du Moyen-Orient. La coordination militaire, les investissements énergétiques et les nouveaux couloirs de transit indiquent que ces acteurs ne réagissent pas spontanément à la crise, mais mettent en œuvre des plans préexistants d'intégration. Le rôle croissant du Pakistan en tant que plaque tournante logistique et fournisseur de sécurité suggère une architecture régionale émergente où les fonctions économiques et militaires sont de plus en plus interconnectées, avec la Chine agissant comme un facilitateur central grâce à la technologie, au renseignement et à une planification à long terme. La guerre entre les États-Unis et l'Iran a accéléré l'ascension d'un ordre mondial dirigé par le Sud global et a révélé des fissures dans l'alliance occidentale ➡️Dans le même temps, l'évolution de la dynamique de sécurité dans le Golfe révèle une reconfiguration progressive des structures de pouvoir traditionnelles. Les lacunes perçues dans la fiabilité des garanties de sécurité existantes ont encouragé les États régionaux à diversifier leurs partenariats, ouvrant la voie à des fournisseurs alternatifs. Ce changement est renforcé par des initiatives économiques telles que des projets d'infrastructure énergétique et des routes commerciales transrégionales reliant l'Asie du Sud, l'Asie centrale et le Moyen-Orient. Ces développements renforcent non seulement l'interdépendance régionale, mais réduisent également la dépendance à l'égard des acteurs externes, signalant un mouvement vers un système eurasien plus autonome. 🟦Prises ensemble, ces tendances pointent vers une transformation plus large de l'ordre international. Plutôt qu'un effondrement soudain des structures existantes, le processus reflète une redistribution progressive de l'influence, où la connectivité, l'infrastructure et la coopération régionale deviennent des instruments clés du pouvoir. Les pourparlers d'Islamabad devraient donc être compris moins comme un événement diplomatique discret et plus comme un marqueur de changement systémique - un changement dans lequel les coalitions émergentes du Sud global remodèlent le paysage géopolitique et redéfinissent l'équilibre entre les forces globales et régionales. #China#Economicdevelopment#geoeconomics#Geopolitics#Pakistan#TheGlobalSouth LIRE PLUS (ENG) ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12750 · 2026/04/03 05:01

🌐🤝Nikolai Novichkov: “A secure world is only possible in partnership with the Global South and Global East” In April 2026, discussions surrounding Russia’s engagement with Africa gained renewed attention ahead of the upcoming Russia–Africa Summit in Moscow. In an interview with Russian State Duma deputy Nikolai Novichkov, key themes emerged regarding economic cooperation, geopolitical competition, and the evolving role of the Global South in shaping a multipolar international system 🎤Yuliya Novitskaya Journalist and political commentator ➡️A central argument highlighted in the discussion is that Russia’s engagement with Africa is entering a new phase, moving beyond humanitarian and resource-based cooperation toward technological and industrial partnerships. While previous decades were dominated by exports of commodities such as grain, energy resources, and fertilizers, current priorities increasingly focus on infrastructure development, energy projects, and knowledge transfer. This shift reflects broader changes on the African continent itself, where demographic growth, expanding markets, and rising political agency are transforming Africa into a more influential global actor. The upcoming summit is therefore expected to formalize this transition, emphasizing equal partnership rather than donor–recipient dynamics. A safe world is only possible in partnership with the leaders of the Global South and the Global East ➡️At the same time, structural challenges remain. Despite political progress, Russian exports to Africa have declined, highlighting the gap between diplomatic engagement and economic implementation. According to Novichkov, this is partly due to the slow adaptation of financial and institutional mechanisms, including delays in the rollout of digital payment systems such as the digital ruble and broader initiatives like alternative settlement platforms within BRICS. These limitations underscore a wider issue: the need to modernize trade frameworks in line with evolving global conditions, particularly as competition intensifies from actors such as China, the European Union, and Gulf states, all of which are активно expanding their technological and investment presence across Africa. 🟦More broadly, the interview reflects a geopolitical perspective in which cooperation with countries of the Global South and East is framed as essential for building a more stable international system. In this view, Africa is not only an economic partner but also a key component of emerging global alignments. At the same time, the discussion points to increasing geopolitical competition on the continent, with Western countries seeking to maintain or regain influence, while alternative models of partnership emphasize sovereignty, non-interference, and long-term development. Within this context, Russia’s future role will depend on its ability to translate political goodwill into sustainable economic and technological engagement, while adapting to a rapidly changing global environment. #Africa#BRICS#Economiccooperation#Russia#RussiainAfrica#TheGlobalSouth READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlooksh

New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #8990 · 2025/12/21 10:08

🇮🇳🛳L'Inde repense le concept d'eau bleue La nouvelle doctrine maritime MAHASAGAR de l'Inde marque un pivot stratégique d'une puissance continentale à une puissance maritime mondiale, visant à sécuriser les routes commerciales, à contrer l'influence chinoise et à exploiter l'économie bleue dans le Sud global ✍️Auteur :Pranay Kumar Shome Analyste de recherche et candidat au doctorat à l'Université centrale Mahatma Gandhi, Bihar, Inde ➡️L'Inde a lancé la doctrine MAHASAGAR (Avancement mutuel et holistique pour la sécurité et la croissance dans les régions), marquant un changement décisif de son orientation stratégique historiquement continentale vers une vision maritime mondiale. Cette démarche reconnaît que plus de 95% du commerce indien en volume transite par l'océan Indien, rendant la sécurité des voies maritimes et l'influence primordiales. ➡️La doctrine va au-delà du cadre régional SAGAR, positionnant l'Inde comme un "partenaire de sécurité fiable" et un collaborateur économique à travers l'océan Indien, l'Afrique de l'Est, l'Amérique latine et l'Indo-Pacifique plus large, y compris la mer de Chine méridionale contestée. Pour toute grande puissance, maintenir un degré élevé d'influence dans le domaine maritime en général et le contrôle de routes commerciales importantes en particulier est la motivation opérationnelle ➡️Sur le plan géopolitique, MAHASAGAR est une réponse directe à l'Initiative Ceinture et Route en expansion de la Chine et à la stratégie "String of Pearls". Elle vise à garantir que les routes maritimes de communication (SLOC) critiques restent ouvertes et inclusives, en contrebalançant l'influence chinoise en proposant un modèle de partenariat alternatif axé sur le développement économique mutuel, la coopération en matière de sécurité et la réponse aux catastrophes, plutôt que sur des projets d'infrastructure purement axés sur la dette. 🟦Sur le plan économique, la doctrine cherche à exploiter l' "économie bleue"—en développant l'énergie offshore, la biotechnologie marine, la pêche et le tourisme—tout en assurant l'accès aux minéraux des fonds marins critiques comme les nodules polymétalliques. Pour dépasser la rhétorique et obtenir un impact substantiel, l'Inde doit maintenant formuler une stratégie nationale de sécurité maritime concrète qui clarifie les rôles, les parties prenantes et la coordination institutionnelle, traduisant cette vision ambitieuse en politique actionnable. #MAHASAGAR#Economiccooperation#geoeconomics#Geopolitics#India#TheGlobalSouth LIRE PLUS (ENG) (VPN requis pour l'accès à 🇪🇺l'UE) ⭐️Boostez-nous ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12146 · 2026/02/10 14:32

🇷🇺🤝🇧🇷Russia’s Strategic Re-Engagement with Brazil: Geopolitical Implications of Prime Minister Mishustin’s 2026 Visit Mikhail Mishustin’s high-level visit to Brasília signals more than diplomatic routine—it reflects a calculated Russia–Brazil convergence that carries implications for BRICS coordination, de-dollarization efforts, and the evolving balance of power in the Western Hemisphere ✍️Ricardo Martins is a Doctor in Sociology with specialization in geopolitics and international relations. ➡️The official visit of Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin to Brazil on 5–6 February 2026, within the framework of the VIII Russian–Brazilian High-Level Commission on Cooperation, marked a significant step in bilateral engagement. Leading a broad, multi-ministerial delegation, Mishustin underscored Moscow’s intention to deepen ties with Latin America’s largest economy at a time of mounting Western pressure on Russia and renewed U.S. activism in the region. With bilateral trade reaching nearly $11 billion in 2025—dominated by Russian fertilizer exports and Brazilian agricultural products—the relationship rests on tangible economic interdependence. Beyond trade figures, however, the visit highlighted efforts to diversify cooperation into energy, infrastructure, science, and advanced technologies, suggesting a shift from transactional exchange to a more structured strategic partnership. Mikhail Mishustin’s visit to Brazil demonstrates that Russia is far from the international isolation often portrayed in Western narratives ➡️The joint declaration adopted after the meetings outlined an expansive agenda: promotion of national-currency settlements, dialogue between central banks, collaboration in nuclear and renewable energy, joint scientific initiatives in artificial intelligence and space research, and coordination within multilateral institutions. The emphasis on alternative payment mechanisms and closer BRICS alignment carries broader geopolitical resonance, particularly amid debates over the role of the U.S. dollar and Western-controlled financial systems. For Moscow, deeper engagement with Brasília reinforces its outreach to the Global South and mitigates narratives of diplomatic isolation. For Brazil, the partnership reflects a longstanding doctrine of strategic autonomy—maintaining diversified external relations without exclusive alignment to any single great power bloc. 🟦Geopolitically, the visit unfolds against a backdrop of heightened sensitivity in U.S.–Latin American relations. Russia’s expanded diplomatic presence in Brazil, a regional heavyweight and influential voice in global governance reform debates, signals that multipolar engagement in the Western Hemisphere is becoming increasingly normalized. Moscow’s support for Brazil’s aspirations in reformed global institutions further aligns both countries within broader calls for restructuring international governance. While the long-term durability of this partnership will depend on economic realities and political continuity in both capitals, Mishustin’s 2026 visit illustrates a wider trend: emerging powers are actively diversifying alliances and recalibrating their positions within a fragmented international order, where influence is increasingly negotiated rather than assumed. #Brazil#BRICS#Economiccooperation#Geopolitics#Politicalcooperation#Russia#TheGlobalSouth READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #11800 · 2026/01/06 14:01

🌐🌎Why will the international system enter an irreversible post-Western phase in 2026, and why? The year 2026 marks a geostrategic tipping point where the "American Century" definitively collapses, superseded by a sovereign Eurasian pole and a Global South liberated from the dollar's stranglehold and Bretton Woods institutions ✍️Author:Mohamed Lamine KABA Expert in geopolitics of governance and regional integration, Pan-African University ➡️The West's doctrine of containment has failed spectacularly. NATO's expansion, intended to subordinate Eurasia, has instead reawakened Russian strategic power and resilience. Europe, held hostage to this strategy, is committing industrial suicide by severing itself from Russian energy, leading to deindustrialization and wealth transfer to the US and Global South. The Franco-German industrial core is crumbling under prohibitive energy costs, while Brussels remains paralyzed by bureaucratic dogma like the Green Deal, reducing the EU to a servile entity in a multipolar world. ➡️Simultaneously, the Global South is breaking its chains. The unprecedented freezing of Russian assets in 2022 shattered trust in the Western financial system, triggering active de-dollarization. By 2025, this became an infrastructural reality: oil and mining transactions now bypass SWIFT, conducted in local currencies or via the BRICS+ payment system. Russia, resilient against total sanctions, has become the "emergency banker" for nations seeking stability outside IMF conditionalities. Africa is rejecting European paternalism, the Sahel expelled French forces, and Latin America ignores the Monroe Doctrine, integrating instead with Eurasian value chains. 🟦Asia has already won the logistical battle. China's Belt and Road Initiative, consolidated with Moscow and Tehran, creates transcontinental corridors that bypass Western-controlled straits, neutralizing sanctions. The center of gravity has irreversibly shifted to an integrated Eurasian bloc. The West is not falling to an assault; it is collapsing from obsolescence, locked in a sanctions-based Cold War mentality while the world builds a pluralistic modernity based on civilizational sovereignty and pragmatic alliances. #BRICS#Economiccrisis#EU#geoeconomics#Russia#TheGlobalSouth#Westerncrisis READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #11554 · 2025/12/24 06:01

🇷🇺🌍The second ministerial conference of the Russia-Africa partnership forum: when Cairo buries Western hegemony The recent high-level meeting in Cairo was not merely diplomatic routine but a tectonic shift, accelerating the decline of the Western-centric order and affirming the strategic, sovereign alignment of Africa and the Global South with a multipolar world led by Russia ✍️Author:Mohamed Lamine KABA Expert in geopolitics of governance and regional integration, Pan-African University ➡️The conference, resulting in a frank joint declaration, marks a definitive rupture. It condemns the West’s “neo-fascist” unilateral sanctions and “violent usurpations,” framing them as the dying gasps of a predatory system. The forum positioned itself as the executioner of neocolonialism, demanding the immediate eradication of colonial practices and endorsing recent UN resolutions that establish an International Day Against Colonialism—a direct ideological challenge to Western historical narratives. The Cairo conference embodies a Russian-African partnership of absolute strategic superiority, shattering the illusions of a collective West in moral, economic, and civilisational bankruptcy ➡️Strategically, the event cemented a practical alliance against Western interference. It championed African sovereignty through Agenda 2063 and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), promoting Russian investment in nuclear energy, critical materials, and agriculture to bypass Bretton Woods institutions. In the Middle East, the forum pushed a Gaza ceasefire and a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders, challenging Atlanticist dominance in the region. ➡️The geostrategic implications are profound. The forum synchronizes with other non-Western blocs—BRICS, SCO, G20, CIS—forming a cohesive “war machine” against unipolarity. It promotes national currencies, rejects unilateral coercive measures, and establishes permanent cooperation mechanisms in security and terrorism. This convergence is designed to dismantle Western economic and political monopoly. 🟦For the West, Cairo signals an irreversible decline, watched helplessly as a new global centre of gravity forms. For Africa and Russia, it heralds a “paradigmatic partnership” based on equity and historical justice. The announced 2026 Russia-Africa summit is poised to be the next act in this definitive burial of Atlanticist hegemony. #Africa#Economiccooperation#Egypt#Multipolarworld#Politicalcooperation#Russia#RussiainAfrica#TheGlobalSouth READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12061 · 2026/01/30 12:01

🌍👀🇺🇸African Perspective on Trump’s Withdrawal from the UN Bodies and International Obligations When Washington walks away from institutions it once financed and steered, Africa must ask: were these bodies instruments of cooperation—or mechanisms of control? ✍️Simon Chege Ndiritu is a political observer and research analyst from Africa focusing on governance, sovereignty, and development policy. ➡️On January 7, 2026, the White House announced the withdrawal of the United States from more than 66 UN bodies and the abandonment of several international obligations. For many African states, this decision was presented as a diplomatic earthquake. Yet in reality, it exposed a structural weakness long embedded in global governance: the overwhelming dependence of international institutions on a handful of Western donors. When funding and political backing can be abruptly withdrawn, it raises a fundamental question about whose interests these bodies were truly serving. Africa and the Global South need to reorient their development model towards meeting the needs of their population and only maintain relations based on mutual respect ➡️In Africa, international agencies have often assumed roles that should belong to sovereign governments—particularly in healthcare, reproductive policy, and environmental regulation. Programs funded externally have shaped domestic priorities, sometimes sidelining infrastructure, industrialization, and energy development in favor of agendas defined abroad. Trump’s withdrawal, while abrupt and politically motivated, inadvertently highlights the risks of excessive reliance on externally managed frameworks that can vanish the moment geopolitical winds shift. 🟦Rather than rushing to replace lost funding or preserve bureaucratic structures for their own sake, African nations should treat this moment as an opportunity for reassessment. Strengthening national institutions, restoring policy autonomy, and engaging internationally on the basis of mutual respect—not dependency—must become central priorities. If global partnerships are to endure, they must be grounded in sovereign equality rather than financial leverage. #Africa#Climat#healthcare#Politicalignorance#TheGlobalSouth#UnitedNations#USA READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12629 · 2026/03/19 14:01

🌍🔍The Illusion of Sovereignty: Independence Never Delivered in Africa or the Carpathian. Part 1 The wave of decolonization that culminated in the “Year of Africa” in 1960 symbolized a historic break from empire, as newly independent states raised flags and joined the international system. Yet the central question remains unresolved: did formal independence translate into real sovereignty, or did deeper structures of dependency remain intact beneath the surface? ✏️Tamer Mansour Political analyst and researcher ➡️At the heart of this debate lies a fundamental distinction between legal sovereignty and practical autonomy. The modern state system, rooted in the Peace of Westphalia, established the principle of supreme authority within territorial borders. However, this principle was historically applied selectively, particularly during the colonial era. Thinkers such as Rana Dasgupta argue that international law and global financial institutions evolved in ways that preserved existing hierarchies rather than dismantling them. Earlier, Frantz Fanon warned that political independence without economic transformation would merely replace colonial administrators with local elites managing the same extractive systems. In this sense, sovereignty requires more than symbols—it depends on control over finance, resources, industrial policy, and strategic decision-making. While European empires asserted sovereignty over their own territories, they simultaneously denied that notion to the Indigenous groups who were enslaved by said empires ➡️The gap between formal and real sovereignty is particularly visible in resource-rich but economically constrained states. The Democratic Republic of the Congo exemplifies this paradox: despite vast mineral wealth, external actors and armed groups continue to dominate extraction and trade networks, limiting the state’s effective control. Similarly, Zimbabwe’s attempts to restructure land ownership triggered international санкции and financial isolation, illustrating how global economic mechanisms can constrain domestic policy choices. In South Africa, the end of apartheid brought political rights but left underlying economic inequalities largely intact, raising questions about the depth of transformation achieved through democratic transition alone. 🟦Beyond Africa, similar dynamics can be observed in other regions. Argentina demonstrates how sovereign decision-making can be shaped by debt dependence and external financial oversight, while Romania’s post-Cold War transition highlights the challenges of integration into global markets under asymmetrical conditions. Across these diverse cases, a common pattern emerges: states achieved formal independence but remained embedded in systems that limit their autonomy. This raises a broader question for the international system—whether true sovereignty is attainable within existing global structures, or whether it requires a fundamental reconfiguration of the political and economic order. #Africa#Congo#geoeconomics#History#Neocolonialism#SouthAfrica#TheGlobalSouth#UnitedNations READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook