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Tag: #cpi · 23 posts

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Posted Apr 13

🚀 Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Challenges Amid Economic Indicators Bitcoin may face liquidity challenges, according to Delphi Digital's analysis. According to PANews, February's PCE data indicated a weakening in U.S. consumer spending even before the impact of the Iran conflict. Income levels have contracted, and real spending has shown almost no growth. Subsequently, March's CPI recorded a 3.3% increase, with energy accounting for three-quarters of the rise. The U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) is declining, typically leading real yields by about six months. The last occurrence of such a scenario was in 2022, when tight monetary policy coincided with an energy shock, resulting in Bitcoin's correlation with real yields turning deeply negative. #Bitcoin#LiquidityChallenges#EconomicIndicators#PCE#CPI#ConsumerSpending#USEconomy#LEI#RealYields#MonetaryPolicy#EnergyShock#BTC

12 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 PRECIOUS METALS | U.S. Inflation and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Impact Gold Prices On April 13, Jin10 reported that a research note from CITIC Securities highlighted the significant rise in U.S. overall inflation for March, driven by soaring oil prices, while core inflation remained moderate. According to Jin10, CITIC Securities anticipates minimal risk of secondary inflation in the U.S. and suggests that April's CPI may continue to show elevated growth due to compensatory increases in rental inflation. If oil prices decline slowly, U.S. CPI could remain above 3% year-on-year for the rest of the year. CITIC Securities also forecasts a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve within the year, which may lead to a weaker U.S. dollar in the near term. This scenario could create liquidity-driven recovery opportunities for gold prices. Additionally, U.S. equities might benefit from improved risk appetite, while U.S. Treasury yields may lack sufficient downward momentum due to economic fundamentals. #PreciousMetals#USInflation#FedRateCut#GoldPrices#CITICSecurities#OilPrices#CoreInflation#CPI#USDollar#USEquities#USTreasuryYields

11 views

Posted Apr 12

🚀 U.S. Inflation Trends Show Potential Systemic Risks Amid Geopolitical Tensions CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost recently shared insights on the X platform regarding the current structure of U.S. inflation. According to Odaily, while the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained largely unchanged. This indicates that inflationary pressures have not yet fully spread across the economy. This trend requires ongoing monitoring through subsequent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data and in the coming months. As long as this structure persists, it suggests that inflation has not become systematically embedded in the U.S. economy and may be more of a temporary phenomenon, potentially linked to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the conflict between the U.S. and Iran prolongs, inflation could gradually evolve into a systemic risk, potentially impacting economic growth. In such a scenario, the Federal Reserve might be compelled to continue raising interest rates to address the situation. #USInflation#GeopoliticalTensions#CryptoQuant#CPI#PCE#InflationRisk#EconomicGrowth#FederalReserve#InterestRates#USIranConflict

9 views

Posted Apr 12

🚀 Bitcoin and Ether Prices Could Signal Sustainable Growth, Says Analyst Macro analyst Jordi Visser has suggested that Bitcoin surpassing $76,000 and Ether exceeding $2,400 might indicate the beginning of a sustainable upward trend this year. According to NS3.AI, Visser expressed confidence in the market's resilience, noting that he does not foresee a recession. Additionally, data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April increased by 3.3% compared to the previous year. #Bitcoin#Ether#Cryptocurrency#MarketAnalysis#SustainableGrowth#MacroEconomics#CPI#Inflation#BTC#ETH

9 views

Posted Apr 11

🚀 USDi Stablecoin Seeks $1.5 Million in Seed Funding Amid Rising Inflation USDi, a stablecoin already in circulation, is aiming to secure approximately $1.5 million in seed funding. According to NS3.AI, the token is designed to track the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and is intended to increase in value with inflation, rather than maintaining a fixed nominal value of $1. Michael Ashton highlighted that the initiative comes at a time when U.S. inflation has surged to 0.9% in the past month, primarily due to energy costs linked to the ongoing conflict in Iran. #USDi#Stablecoin#SeedFunding#Inflation#CPI#EnergyCosts#IranConflict

12 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Bitcoin Rises Over 1.5% Following March CPI Data Release The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March increased by 0.9% from the previous month and 3.3% compared to the same period last year, slightly below analyst expectations. According to NS3.AI, the energy index saw a significant rise of nearly 11%, driven by a 21.2% increase in gasoline prices. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicated a 0% probability of an interest rate cut in April, with a 98.4% likelihood of rates remaining unchanged. In response to the CPI data release, Bitcoin's value increased by more than 1.5%, briefly reaching $73,000. #Bitcoin#CPI#Inflation#GasPrices#FederalReserve#InterestRates#CryptoNews#FinancialMarkets#BLS#EconomicData#BTC

11 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Annex Wealth Management Economist Discusses Impact of Rising Gasoline Prices on CPI Annex Wealth Management's Chief Economist, Brian Jacobsen, commented on April 10 that while he anticipated a rise in overall CPI due to increasing gasoline prices, the actual data was surprising. According to Jin10, Jacobsen noted that there is currently no evidence of high energy prices affecting core inflation. He explained that this process might take time to manifest, as businesses are likely to absorb most of the initial impact. In a way, consumers cutting back on other discretionary spending could potentially lower core inflation rather than increase it. #AnnexWealthManagement#Economist#GasolinePrices#CPI#CoreInflation#EnergyPrices#InflationImpact#DiscretionarySpending

8 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Citigroup Economists Estimate Core PCE Monthly Increase at 0.3% Citigroup economists have made a preliminary estimate that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will show a monthly increase of 0.3%, based on today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to Jin10, this figure exceeds the Federal Reserve's target of a 2% year-over-year increase but is an improvement over the 0.4% rise recorded in February. The Citigroup team noted that they will need to consider Producer Price Index (PPI) data to make a more accurate prediction for the PCE. #Citigroup#Economists#CorePCE#PersonalConsumptionExpenditures#CPI#FederalReserve#PPI#EconomicForecast

7 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 U.S. March CPI Report Anticipated to Reflect Energy Impact The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March is set to be released tonight at 8:30 PM UTC+8. According to ChainCatcher, the report is expected to significantly demonstrate the impact of the Iranian energy shock for the first time. Combined with the effects of tariff transmission, the March data may show a substantial rebound. #US#CPI#energyimpact#Iranianenergy#tariffs#Marchreport

4 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Dollar Index Faces Largest Weekly Decline Since January Amid CPI Data Release Forex analyst Carter Johnson has noted a significant drop in the U.S. dollar spot index, which has fallen approximately 1.4% this week. According to Odaily, this marks the largest weekly decline since January. During the U.S.-Iran conflict, the strategy of buying dollars and oil proved effective. However, as the forex market transitions to a phase driven by news headlines, particularly concerning negotiations under a fragile ceasefire, this strategy may face challenges. #DollarIndex#USD#CPI#Forex#USMarkets#Oil#CurrencyTrading#MarketAnalysis

7 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Mixed Signals in CPI Basket Beyond Energy Factors Market analyst Enda Curran has highlighted mixed signals in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket when energy factors are excluded. According to Jin10, new car prices saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, with new sedan prices rising by 0.3%. In contrast, prices for used cars and trucks fell by 0.4% month-on-month. Curran noted that any tariff impacts within these figures are not immediately apparent. #CPI#Inflation#ConsumerPrices#EnergyPrices#AutomobilePrices#EconomicAnalysis

6 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Economist Win Thin Reflects on Global CPI Trends Economist Win Thin has observed that, in retrospect, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March in most countries worldwide was slightly below expectations, with the exception of the United States. According to Jin10, many other countries are increasing fuel subsidies to alleviate the impact on consumers. However, Thin warns that this approach may lead to significant fiscal burdens, making it unsustainable in the long term. #Economist#CPI#GlobalTrends#FuelSubsidies#FiscalBurden#Inflation

7 views
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