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Tag: #monetarypolicy · 34 posts

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Posted Apr 13

🚀 Market Expects Two Rate Hikes by Bank of England in 2026 The overnight index swap (OIS) curve indicates that the market anticipates an approximately 84% probability of the Bank of England raising interest rates twice in 2026. According to Jin10, this expectation has increased from 60% last Friday. #BankofEngland#InterestRates#MonetaryPolicy#OIS#RateHikes#UKEconomy#FinancialMarkets #2026

85 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 ECB Rate Hike Probability Rises to 50% for April The probability of the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates in April has increased to 50%, according to recent pricing in the money markets. According to Jin10, this marks a significant rise from last Friday when the likelihood was estimated at around 20%. The shift in market expectations reflects growing anticipation of monetary policy adjustments by the ECB. #ECB#RateHike#InterestRates#MonetaryPolicy#MarketExpectations#Eurozone

60 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 Bank of Japan Governor: Underlying Inflation Gradually Approaching Target Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the underlying inflation rate is gradually accelerating towards the central bank's target. According to Jin10, Ueda emphasized the importance of monitoring inflation trends closely to ensure they align with the Bank of Japan's objectives. The central bank remains committed to its monetary policy framework to achieve stable price growth. #BankOfJapan#Inflation#MonetaryPolicy#KazuoUeda#EconomicStability#CentralBank

59 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 ANZ Bank Forecasts Consecutive Rate Hikes by New Zealand Central Bank ANZ Bank has projected that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will implement three consecutive interest rate hikes of 25 basis points each in July, September, and October, raising the official cash rate to 3%. According to Jin10, this move is anticipated as inflation rates are expected to rise, and maintaining the official rate at a stimulative level could cause concern for the RBNZ. Sharon Zollner, ANZ's Chief Economist, stated that these rate hikes would be significant, leading ANZ to no longer predict an increase in the official rate to 3.5%. She added that once the rate reaches 3%, it is expected to remain stable at that level. #ANZBank#RBNZ#interestratehikes#ReserveBankofNewZealand#cashrate#inflation#SharonZollner#economy#monetarypolicy#NewZealand

11 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Expects BOJ to Implement Appropriate Monetary Policy Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary, Hirokazu Matsuno, has expressed expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will implement appropriate monetary policy measures. According to Jin10, Matsuno emphasized the importance of achieving the BOJ's inflation target in a sustainable and stable manner. This statement comes amid ongoing discussions about Japan's economic strategies and the central bank's role in maintaining economic stability. #Japan#BOJ#MonetaryPolicy#InflationTarget#EconomicStability#HirokazuMatsuno#BankOfJapan

11 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 Barclays Analysts: Asian Central Banks Likely to Maintain Monetary Policy Amid Middle East Conflict On April 13, Barclays Bank's fixed income, foreign exchange, and commodities research team released a report suggesting that Asian central banks may keep their monetary policies unchanged in the short term due to ongoing Middle East conflicts. According to Jin10, the analysts noted that the Monetary Authority of Singapore is likely to maintain its current policy this week, expressing concerns over the risks of extreme negative growth rather than inflation. Meanwhile, Barclays believes that unless the U.S. dollar significantly depreciates against the Indonesian rupiah before the upcoming Bank Indonesia meeting, the Indonesian central bank is unlikely to quickly resume its rate-cutting cycle. Additionally, the central banks of Thailand and the Philippines, which are also holding meetings this month, are expected to remain on hold. #Barclays#AsianCentralBanks#MonetaryPolicy#MiddleEastConflict#Singapore#Indonesia#Thailand#Philippines#InterestRates#BankIndonesia#USdollar#Rupiah#RateCut

8 views

Posted Apr 13

🚀 Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Challenges Amid Economic Indicators Bitcoin may face liquidity challenges, according to Delphi Digital's analysis. According to PANews, February's PCE data indicated a weakening in U.S. consumer spending even before the impact of the Iran conflict. Income levels have contracted, and real spending has shown almost no growth. Subsequently, March's CPI recorded a 3.3% increase, with energy accounting for three-quarters of the rise. The U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) is declining, typically leading real yields by about six months. The last occurrence of such a scenario was in 2022, when tight monetary policy coincided with an energy shock, resulting in Bitcoin's correlation with real yields turning deeply negative. #Bitcoin#LiquidityChallenges#EconomicIndicators#PCE#CPI#ConsumerSpending#USEconomy#LEI#RealYields#MonetaryPolicy#EnergyShock#BTC

12 views

Posted Apr 12

🚀 Global Currency Order Restructuring May Lead to Long-Term Dollar Depreciation According to Jin10, a report by China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggests that after the short-term factors boosting the dollar fade, the narrative of global currency order restructuring and the weakening of dollar hegemony may once again dominate market direction. The United States' continuous accumulation of net external debt increases its need for dollar depreciation. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's policies and the unresolved risks of dollar 'weaponization' also dampen market demand for U.S. assets. The new Federal Reserve Chair, Walsh, advocates for a 'balance sheet reduction' policy, which could objectively help restore the dollar's credibility if implemented. However, Walsh's policy is constrained by the resilience of the real economy and financial markets, as well as political limitations. Additionally, Trump's foreign, trade, and economic policies continue to negatively impact the dollar's credibility. Considering the overall impact of Walsh and Trump's policies, it is difficult to conclude that the dollar's credibility will improve in the future. We anticipate that the global currency order may continue to restructure, driving the dollar to maintain a long-term depreciation trend. #GlobalCurrencyOrder#DollarDepreciation#USDebt#DollarHegemony#FederalReserve#MonetaryPolicy#TrumpPolicies#CICCReport#FinancialMarkets#CurrencyRestructuring

11 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 White House Economic Advisor Suggests Fed Has Room for Rate Cuts The White House National Economic Council Director, Hassett, has indicated that the Federal Reserve still has room to lower interest rates. According to ChainCatcher, this outlook is expected to be very stable. #WhiteHouse#EconomicAdvisor#FederalReserve#InterestRates#RateCuts#Economy#MonetaryPolicy

11 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 Federal Reserve's Focus on Core CPI Raises Concerns Among Economists Bloomberg posted on X that the Federal Reserve is expected to scrutinize core CPI, causing concern among economists. Jonathan J. Levin, Allison Schrager, and Keds Economist have expressed apprehension about the implications of this focus. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is a key indicator for assessing inflation trends. Economists worry that the Fed's emphasis on this measure could influence monetary policy decisions, potentially impacting interest rates and economic growth. The discussion highlights the ongoing debate about the best metrics for guiding economic policy and the challenges in balancing inflation control with economic stability. #FederalReserve#CoreCPI#Inflation#MonetaryPolicy#Economics#InterestRates#EconomicGrowth

6 views

Posted Apr 10

🚀 U.S. Short-Term Interest Rate Futures Retreat Following CPI Report U.S. short-term interest rate futures experienced a partial retreat after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. According to Jin10, the CPI data prompted a reassessment of market expectations regarding future interest rate movements. The report's impact on the futures market reflects investor sentiment and adjustments in anticipation of potential monetary policy changes. Analysts are closely monitoring these developments as they could influence broader economic conditions and financial markets. #US#InterestRates#Futures#CPI#MarketUpdate#MonetaryPolicy#Economy#FinancialMarkets

3 views
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