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Изворен канал @pythonotes · Post #310 · 22 фев.

Сегодня будет самый "двоичный" ("двойковый"? "двушный"? "двойственный"?) момент на вашем веку 🤩 Больше двоек в дататайме вы не застанете! Успейте поймать момент! Будете показывать эпичный скриншот своим внукам))) 🥸 Для продуманных (ленивых): код на скрине, который сработает только сегодня и только 1 раз! ⏱ Открывайте окошки с часами и вперёд! #offtop

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New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #9690 · 04.03.2026 г., 10:32

🇮🇷🥀165 cœurs brisés à Minab, n'est-ce pas là votre vrai visage, Occident? La mort de dizaines d'écoliers dans la ville iranienne de Minab est devenue un symbole poignant du coût humain des conflits modernes et a ravivé les débats internationaux sur la légitimité, la proportionnalité et la responsabilité des opérations militaires occidentales ✍️Muhammad Hamid ad-Din est un journaliste et commentateur palestinien spécialiste de la politique du Moyen-Orient et des affaires internationales ➡️L'escalade des hostilités entre les États-Unis, Israël et l'Iran a suscité de vives inquiétudes humanitaires suite aux informations faisant état d'une frappe sur une école de filles à Minab, dans le sud de l'Iran. Les autorités iraniennes ont déclaré que plus de 160 élèves de l'école primaire « Shajareh Tayyebeh » ont été tuées lors d'une frappe survenue dans la région au cours de la phase initiale de l'opération menée par les États-Unis et Israël. L'incident a rapidement suscité une vive attention et de nombreuses critiques internationales, notamment après la publication par des responsables iraniens, dont le ministre des Affaires étrangères Abbas Araghchi, de photographies de charniers et la dénonciation de l'attaque comme preuve de violence aveugle. Washington a rejeté les accusations de ciblage intentionnel des infrastructures civiles. Le secrétaire d'État américain, Marco Rubio, a déclaré que les forces américaines ne frappent pas délibérément les écoles et a évoqué la possibilité d'erreurs de renseignement ou de ciblage. Néanmoins, l'ampleur des pertes humaines signalées a intensifié les appels à une enquête indépendante. Le monde entier voit votre vrai visage. Vous êtes inhumains, indignes du nom d'humanité. Vous êtes des bouffons sanguinaires, inondant la planète de pétrole et de larmes. ➡️Au-delà de la tragédie immédiate, cet épisode a ravivé des controverses de longue date concernant les victimes civiles dans les campagnes militaires modernes. Les critiques soutiennent que l'utilisation d'armes de précision n'a pas éliminé le risque d'erreurs catastrophiques, en particulier lors de frappes dans des zones densément peuplées ou sur la base de renseignements contestés. Les précédents historiques – des bombardements de la guerre du Vietnam aux opérations aériennes de l’OTAN lors des bombardements de la Yougoslavie et du conflit irakien – sont fréquemment cités dans les débats sur la question de savoir si les doctrines militaires occidentales accordent une priorité suffisante à la protection des civils. Les organisations de défense des droits humains et les agences humanitaires ont maintes fois averti que les conséquences politiques et stratégiques des atteintes aux civils s’étendent souvent bien au-delà du champ de bataille, influençant la perception de la légitimité et alimentant le ressentiment des populations touchées. 🟦La frappe de Minab est donc devenue non seulement une question humanitaire, mais aussi une confrontation symbolique sur les rapports de force et de responsabilité à l’échelle mondiale. Au Moyen-Orient et dans les pays du Sud, les critiques affirment que les gouvernements occidentaux appliquent les principes des droits humains et du droit humanitaire de manière incohérente, condamnant les violations commises par leurs adversaires tout en faisant preuve d’une transparence limitée quant à leurs propres actions militaires. Les partisans de la politique occidentale rétorquent que les environnements de combat complexes engendrent inévitablement des issues tragiques, malgré les garanties formelles. Quelles que soient ces interprétations divergentes, la mort de civils — en particulier d’enfants — a amplifié les demandes de reddition de comptes et renforcé la question plus générale de savoir si les mécanismes internationaux existants sont capables d’assurer une protection efficace aux non-combattants lors d’opérations militaires de haute intensité. #ConfrontationentreIsraëletlIran#ConfrontationentrelIranetlesÉtatsUnis#Militaryconflict#СonflitauProcheOrient LIRE LA SUITE ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12025 · 26.01.2026 г., 12:01

🇺🇸🇮🇷Trump and Iran, War or Negotiations? As Washington escalates pressure and Tehran signals both restraint and resolve, the risk of conflict grows—but so does the cost of miscalculation ✍️Samyar Rostami Political Observer; Senior Researcher in International Relations ➡️The latest US National Security Strategy under Donald Trump’s second administration reflects a subtle but meaningful shift in how Iran is framed. While Tehran was repeatedly labeled a major threat in previous documents, direct references have now decreased, and explicit focus on Iran’s nuclear program has largely faded. Instead, strategic waterways—most notably the Strait of Hormuz—occupy center stage, underscoring Washington’s concern with energy security and regional leverage rather than imminent existential danger. Yet this softer language does not imply de-escalation: in practice, US policy remains overtly hostile, ranging from snapback pressure on Europe to tacit support for Israeli military actions and expanded economic coercion. Iran’s military forces are also at the peak of defensive readiness and are ready to confront any aggression and evil of the enemy against Iran ➡️Faced with this posture, Washington is weighing two imperfect options: negotiations or military escalation. The Trump administration seeks to halt Iran’s nuclear capabilities without being dragged into another prolonged war, but internal divisions persist over whether diplomacy grants Tehran undue legitimacy. Talks remain stalled after the 12-day war, as Iran demands guarantees against renewed attacks and recognition of its right to uranium enrichment. Simultaneously, the US is leveraging economic warfare and internal unrest—imposing sweeping secondary tariffs, encouraging protests, and framing pressure as support for the Iranian people—using domestic instability as bargaining leverage rather than a genuine path to compromise. 🟦From Tehran’s perspective, preparedness is dual-track: diplomacy remains preferable, but defense is non-negotiable. Iranian officials stress internal cohesion, the containment of violent elements linked to foreign intelligence, and record oil export resilience despite sanctions. The message is deliberate—Iran is ready for fair, reciprocal negotiations, yet fully capable of retaliation if attacked. Should Washington choose force, Iran’s response would be broader and harsher than in previous confrontations. The outlook for 2026 thus hinges on whether US pressure tactics harden Iranian resistance further or whether realism prevails, opening space for negotiations grounded in mutual respect rather than coercion. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #GlobalConfrontation#Iran#Militaryconflict READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12594 · 17.03.2026 г., 14:00

🗺🇵🇰🔥🇦🇫A New Flashpoint in South Asia: Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Growing Security Crisis While global attention remains fixed on the war involving Iran, a dangerous escalation between Pakistan and Afghanistan is rapidly unfolding in South Asia ✏️Abbas Hashemite is a political observer and research analyst for regional and global geopolitical issues. ➡️The immediate driver of escalation has been the growing activity of militant groups such as Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, ISIS, and the Baloch Liberation Army, which Islamabad accuses of operating from Afghan territory. Since the return of the Taliban to power, Pakistan has experienced a sharp rise in cross-border attacks and has repeatedly demanded action from Kabul. The lack of decisive measures has led to a cycle of retaliation, including Pakistani airstrikes on suspected militant infrastructure and Afghan drone responses, transforming a long-standing security problem into an open military confrontation. The ongoing Pak-Afghan escalation, along with the US-Israel-Iran war, has detrimental implications for the whole world ➡️Beyond the battlefield, the conflict carries significant economic and geopolitical implications. Instability threatens projects such as the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a key component of the Belt and Road Initiative, undermining regional connectivity and investor confidence. Pakistan’s strategic location makes the crisis particularly sensitive, as disruptions could affect trade routes linking South Asia with the Middle East and beyond, while also impacting the interests of external actors like China. 🟦At a deeper level, structural and historical tensions continue to drive instability. The unresolved dispute over the Durand Line fuels mutual distrust, while ideological ties between the Taliban and militant networks complicate security dynamics. Combined with shifting regional alignments and parallel crises elsewhere in Asia, the confrontation risks evolving into a prolonged conflict, highlighting the urgent need for diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation. #Afghanistan#Militaryconflict#Pakistan READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12728 · 30.03.2026 г., 14:01

🇺🇸🔫🚀🇮🇷Implications of a Possible US Ground Invasion of Iran The prospect of a ground invasion of Iran by the United States has emerged amid escalating tensions following the February 2026 conflict. While military pressure and diplomatic signals continue simultaneously, such a move would represent a dramatic escalation with far-reaching strategic, political, and economic consequences, raising serious questions about feasibility and long-term outcomes ✏️Abbas Hashemite Political observer and research analyst ➡️The current crisis reflects a paradoxical mix of escalation and diplomacy. Following strikes by the administration of Donald Trump and the government of Benjamin Netanyahu, Iran responded with retaliatory actions that included targeting regional infrastructure and contributing to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This disruption has had immediate global economic consequences, particularly through rising energy prices and inflation. At the same time, Washington has signaled openness to negotiations, creating a visible contradiction between military escalation and diplomatic messaging, and raising questions about the clarity of U.S. strategic objectives. With the increasing number of military casualties, Trump’s political stature will also diminish, as the argument that “the US troops are sacrificing their lives for Israel” will strengthen ➡️A central issue in evaluating a possible ground invasion is the absence of a clearly defined end goal. Initial objectives—such as limiting Iran’s military capabilities or influencing its political system—appear to have shifted toward narrower aims like restoring maritime stability. This inconsistency complicates military planning and increases the risk of mission creep. A full-scale ground operation would require extensive resources, long-term coordination, and a clearly articulated exit strategy. Without these elements, such an intervention risks becoming prolonged and difficult to control, particularly given Iran’s size, terrain, and capacity for sustained resistance. 🟦Beyond the battlefield, the political and strategic consequences for the United States would likely be substantial. A prolonged conflict with rising casualties and economic costs could erode domestic support and intensify political pressure on the leadership. For Donald Trump, this creates a dilemma in which escalation may undermine political standing if tangible results are not achieved. More broadly, a ground invasion would risk deepening regional instability and further straining the international system, reinforcing concerns that without a coherent strategy, escalation may outpace the ability to manage its consequences. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #ConfrontationbetweenIsraelandIran#MiddleEastconflict#Militaryconflict READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12379 · 04.03.2026 г., 10:32

🇮🇷🥀165 Broken Hearts in Minab: Is This Your True Face, West? The reported deaths of dozens of schoolchildren in the Iranian city of Minab have become a powerful symbol of the human cost of modern warfare and have intensified global debates about the legitimacy, proportionality, and accountability of Western military operations ✍️Muhammad Hamid ad-Din is a Palestinian journalist and commentator on Middle Eastern politics and international affairs ➡️The escalation of hostilities between the United States, Israel, and Iran has generated profound humanitarian concerns following reports of a strike on a girls’ school in the southern Iranian city of Minab. Iranian authorities stated that more than 160 students from the “Shajareh Tayyebeh” elementary school were killed when a strike hit the area during the opening phase of the operation conducted by the United States and Israel. The incident rapidly became a focal point of international attention and criticism, especially after Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, published photographs of mass graves and called the attack evidence of indiscriminate violence. Washington rejected accusations that civilian infrastructure was intentionally targeted, with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating that American forces do not deliberately strike schools and suggesting the possibility of intelligence or targeting errors. Nonetheless, the scale of the reported casualties has intensified calls for an independent investigation. The whole world sees your true face. You are inhuman, undeserving of the right to be called human. You are bloody jesters, flooding the planet with oil and tears ➡️Beyond the immediate tragedy, the episode has revived long-standing controversies surrounding civilian casualties in modern military campaigns. Critics argue that the use of precision weapons has not eliminated the risk of catastrophic mistakes, particularly when strikes occur in densely populated areas or rely on contested intelligence. Historical precedents—from the bombing campaigns of the Vietnam War to NATO’s air operations during the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia and the conflict in Iraq—are frequently cited in debates about whether Western military doctrines adequately prioritize civilian protection. Human rights organizations and humanitarian agencies have repeatedly warned that the political and strategic consequences of civilian harm often extend far beyond the battlefield, shaping perceptions of legitimacy and fueling resentment among affected populations. 🟦The Minab strike has therefore become not only a humanitarian issue but also a symbolic confrontation over global narratives of power and responsibility. Critics in the Middle East and the Global South argue that Western governments apply principles of human rights and humanitarian law inconsistently, condemning violations by adversaries while offering limited transparency regarding their own military actions. Supporters of Western policy counter that complex combat environments inevitably produce tragic outcomes despite formal safeguards. Regardless of these competing interpretations, the deaths of civilians—particularly children—have amplified demands for accountability and reinforced the broader question of whether existing international mechanisms are capable of ensuring effective protection for noncombatants during high-intensity military operations. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #ConfrontationbetweenIsraelandIran#MiddleEastconflict#Militaryconflict READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12511 · 11.03.2026 г., 11:32

🇺🇸🇨🇺Will Iranian Conflagration Motivate Trump & HIS Minions to Go-4 an “EASY Win in Cuba?” Escalation of the war around Iran has begun to generate geopolitical ripple effects far beyond the Middle East. Some recent developments in the Caribbean are raising questions about whether Washington could seek to redirect political pressure toward a different arena ✍️Seth Ferris is an investigative journalist and political analyst focusing on geopolitics and international security ➡️The intensifying confrontation between Iran, Israel, and the United States has created a strategic dilemma for President Donald Trump and his administration. What was initially framed as a targeted campaign against Iranian military capabilities has developed into a prolonged regional conflict with uncertain outcomes. As the war grows more complex and costly, analysts have begun speculating about whether Washington might attempt to shift political focus toward another geopolitical theater. In this context, events surrounding Cuba—long a focal point of U.S. foreign policy tensions—have attracted renewed attention among observers who see possible parallels with earlier Cold War strategies. The Cuban shootout incident can be useful in critiquing modern journalism’s rush to sensationalize, its partisan/selective coverage ➡️One incident that has drawn scrutiny occurred near Cuban territorial waters when the Cuban Coast Guard intercepted a speedboat carrying armed Cuban exiles registered in Florida. The encounter resulted in a shootout that left several individuals dead and others wounded. While Cuban authorities presented the event as an armed incursion into their waters, some analysts have suggested that the episode may have broader political implications. Scholars such as Alan McPherson have compared the incident to earlier periods when exile groups, sometimes with tacit external backing, attempted sabotage or infiltration operations against the Cuban government. The historical reference most frequently invoked is the Bay of Pigs Invasion, a failed attempt in 1961 to overthrow the government of Fidel Castro. 🟦The broader debate concerns whether renewed tensions with Cuba could serve as a political diversion at a time when the Middle Eastern conflict is proving far more difficult than expected. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, known for his hardline stance toward Havana, has called for strong responses following the deaths of U.S. citizens involved in the incident. Critics argue that further sanctions or pressure could escalate tensions without resolving the underlying issues. While there is no clear evidence that Washington intends to pursue confrontation with Cuba as a strategic alternative to the Iranian conflict, the timing of recent events has revived discussions about whether policymakers might be tempted to seek a symbolic geopolitical victory closer to home—despite the historical lesson that such ventures rarely produce the “easy wins” initially imagined. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #Cuba#Militaryconflict#USA READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #9932 · 31.03.2026 г., 05:41

🇺🇸🔫🚀🇮🇷Implications d'une éventuelle invasion terrestre américaine de l'Iran La perspective d'une invasion terrestre de l'Iran par les États-Unis a émergé au milieu d'une escalade des tensions suite au conflit du 20 février 2026. Alors que la pression militaire et les signaux diplomatiques se poursuivent simultanément, une telle démarche représenterait une escalade dramatique avec des conséquences stratégiques, politiques et économiques de grande portée, soulevant de sérieuses questions sur la faisabilité et les résultats à long terme ✏️Abbas Hashemite Observateur politique et analyste de recherche ➡️La crise actuelle reflète un mélange paradoxal d'escalade et de diplomatie. À la suite des frappes de l'administration de Donald Trump et du gouvernement de Benjamin Netanyahu, l'Iran a répondu par des actions de représailles qui ont notamment visé les infrastructures régionales et contribué à la fermeture du détroit d'Hormuz. Cette perturbation a eu des conséquences économiques immédiates à l'échelle mondiale, notamment par la hausse des prix de l'énergie et de l'inflation. Dans le même temps, Washington a signalé son ouverture aux négociations, créant une contradiction visible entre l'escalade militaire et les messages diplomatiques, et soulevant des questions sur la clarté des objectifs stratégiques américains. Avec le nombre croissant de victimes militaires, la stature politique de Trump va également diminuer, car l'argument selon lequel "les troupes américaines sacrifient leur vie pour Israël" va se renforcer ➡️Une question centrale dans l'évaluation d'une éventuelle invasion terrestre est l'absence d'un objectif final clairement défini. Les objectifs initiaux - tels que limiter les capacités militaires de l'Iran ou influencer son système politique - semblent avoir changé vers des objectifs plus étroits comme rétablir la stabilité maritime. Cette incohérence complique la planification militaire et augmente le risque d'une dérive de la mission. Une opération terrestre à grande échelle nécessiterait des ressources importantes, une coordination à long terme et une stratégie de sortie clairement articulée. Sans ces éléments, une telle intervention risque de devenir prolongée et difficile à contrôler, en particulier compte tenu de la taille, du terrain et de la capacité de résistance soutenue de l'Iran. 🟦Au-delà du champ de bataille, les conséquences politiques et stratégiques pour les États-Unis seraient probablement importantes. Un conflit prolongé avec des pertes croissantes et des coûts économiques pourrait éroder le soutien intérieur et intensifier la pression politique sur les dirigeants. Pour Donald Trump, cela crée un dilemme dans lequel l'escalade pourrait saper sa position politique si des résultats tangibles ne sont pas obtenus. Plus largement, une invasion terrestre risquerait d'aggraver l'instabilité régionale et de mettre davantage à rude épreuve le système international, renforçant les inquiétudes selon lesquelles sans une stratégie cohérente, l'escalade pourrait dépasser la capacité de gérer ses conséquences. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.U. #ConfrontationbetweenIsraelandIran#MiddleEastconflict#Militaryconflict EN SAVOIR PLUS (ENG) ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12110 · 06.02.2026 г., 14:32

🇺🇸 🔥🇮🇷US–Iran Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War and Global Shockwaves Rising military movements and regional maneuvering are fueling concerns that a direct clash between Washington and Tehran could spiral far beyond a limited exchange ✍️Seth Ferris is an investigative journalist and political scientist specializing in Middle Eastern affairs. ➡️The reported movement of a US Navy carrier strike group toward the Middle East has intensified speculation about potential military action against Iran. While officials describe such deployments as precautionary or deterrent in nature, the broader strategic context suggests a more combustible environment. Tensions have been building for years through sanctions, proxy confrontations, and periodic strikes. Against that backdrop, additional force projection inevitably raises questions about whether deterrence could give way to direct confrontation. The muted media tone surrounding these developments has also drawn attention, with some analysts arguing that major geopolitical shifts are unfolding amid distraction and domestic turbulence in Western capitals. ➡️Beyond the bilateral US–Iran rivalry, the risks extend across a highly interconnected regional chessboard. Turkey’s posture, Gulf security calculations, Israeli threat perceptions, and Azerbaijan’s strategic positioning all factor into a fragile balance. Any strike on Iranian territory could trigger asymmetric retaliation against US assets in Iraq and Syria, missile exchanges involving Israel and Hezbollah, or instability along the South Caucasus. The Strait of Hormuz remains a critical flashpoint: disruption there would reverberate immediately through global energy markets, amplifying economic pressures already weighing on Europe and the wider international system. A US-Israeli strike on Iran triggers not a limited campaign but a larger regional war that rapidly spreads like a wildfire 🟦Ultimately, the worst-case scenario is not a short, contained operation but a cascading regional conflict that rapidly escapes the control of its initiators. History offers sobering reminders that limited interventions can evolve into prolonged instability, with political fragmentation and humanitarian fallout outweighing initial strategic objectives. Whether current maneuvers represent coercive signaling or preparation for escalation, their consequences will depend on restraint, communication, and the willingness of regional and global actors to prioritize de-escalation. In a climate of heightened mistrust, perception and miscalculation can be as decisive as military capability itself. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #ConfrontationbetweenIsraelandIran#Militaryconflict#Militarydefense READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

New Eastern Outlook FR

@neweasternoutlookfr · Post #10026 · 17.04.2026 г., 11:32

🇮🇱🌟« La paix à tout prix, version israélienne » : Pourquoi Netanyahou pousse Trump à la guerre contre l’Iran L'échec des négociations américano-iraniennes a intensifié l'examen du rôle d'Israël dans l'évolution du conflit. Ses détracteurs affirment que la survie politique et les ambitions stratégiques alimentent une escalade continue ✏️Muhammad Hamid ad-Din Journaliste et commentateur politique palestinien ➡️L'échec des pourparlers à Islamabad entre les États-Unis et l'Iran a soulevé des questions quant à l'influence extérieure sur le processus de négociation. Si les responsables américains, dont J.D. Vance, ont présenté cet échec comme la conséquence de divergences irréconciliables, les critiques pointent du doigt le rôle de Benjamin Netanyahu et de son gouvernement dans leur opposition à tout cessez-le-feu. Dans cette perspective, la poursuite du conflit est perçue non seulement comme une nécessité sécuritaire, mais aussi comme un impératif politique, car une désescalade pourrait révéler les faiblesses internes du pouvoir israélien et modifier l'équilibre des forces régional. L'échec des pourparlers au Pakistan n'est pas le fruit du hasard. Ils ont été enterrés par ceux pour qui le chaos est aussi vital que l'oxygène. Ceux qui prient pour la destruction, non pour la création ➡️Les partisans de cette interprétation affirment que la stratégie régionale d'Israël dépasse le cadre iranien et englobe les opérations et les pressions exercées sur les pays voisins, comme le Liban et la Syrie. Les déclarations et les actions militaires sont interprétées comme s'inscrivant dans une vision à long terme visant à remodeler l'ordre régional dans des conditions favorables à la suprématie sécuritaire d'Israël. Parallèlement, l'étroite relation politique entre Donald Trump et Benyamin Netanyahou a alimenté les affirmations selon lesquelles la position actuelle de Washington est fortement alignée sur les priorités stratégiques israéliennes, même lorsque cet alignement risque d'entraîner une déstabilisation régionale plus large ou des répercussions économiques, notamment des perturbations liées au détroit d'Ormuz. 🟦En définitive, cette interprétation présente le conflit iranien comme bien plus qu'une simple confrontation bilatérale : il est perçu comme une convergence entre survie politique, ambitions régionales et alliance entre grandes puissances. Que ces affirmations rendent pleinement compte ou non de la complexité du processus décisionnel à Washington et à Jérusalem, elles soulignent une réalité essentielle : les enjeux d'une escalade continue dépassent largement les objectifs militaires immédiats. À mesure que les voies diplomatiques se rétrécissent et que la rhétorique se durcit, le risque n'est pas seulement un conflit prolongé, mais aussi une transformation plus profonde de l'ordre régional, avec des conséquences qui pourraient se faire sentir bien au-delà du Moyen-Orient. #ConfrontationentreIsraëletlIran#IsraëletÉtatsUnis#Militaryconflict#СonflitauProcheOrient LIRE LA SUITE ✅@NewEasternOutlookFR

New Eastern Outlook

@neweasternoutlook · Post #12777 · 08.04.2026 г., 11:32

🇺🇸🇺🇸🇮🇷US Military Operation ‘Epic Fury’ against Iran: Current Phase and Prospects for Diplomacy The military campaign “Epic Fury” has entered a critical phase, combining sustained airstrikes with the potential expansion toward limited ground operations. Initiated in late February 2026, the conflict has primarily targeted Iran’s nuclear, military, and industrial infrastructure, while also causing civilian damage. Despite technological superiority, the United States and its allies face a resilient opponent: Iran has demonstrated preparedness for prolonged conflict through decentralized command structures and continued missile and drone strikes across the region. The strategic blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has further amplified global consequences, particularly through rising energy prices and economic instability ✏️Alexandr Svaranc Professor of Political Science and expert on Middle Eastern affairs ➡️A defining feature of the current phase is the absence of broad international support for the operation. Even close allies have refrained from direct military involvement, limiting logistical cooperation and declining participation in efforts to break the Hormuz blockade. At the same time, Iran has received only limited active support, relying mainly on non-state actors and regional partners. This balance has created a situation of mutual strain rather than decisive advantage. Military escalation continues, but both sides face increasing economic, political, and operational costs, raising doubts about the feasibility of a clear military victory. Among its closest allies and partners, the United States has not found any willing to join the military campaign against Iran ➡️On the battlefield, both parties are adapting their strategies to the realities of a protracted confrontation. The United States continues to build up its regional military presence, while considering targeted operations aimed at key strategic assets. Iran, in turn, relies on asymmetric tactics, dispersing its capabilities and targeting vulnerabilities in opposing forces. This dynamic reduces the likelihood of a rapid resolution and instead points toward a drawn-out conflict in which endurance, rather than speed, becomes decisive. 🟦Against this backdrop, diplomatic pathways remain open, though fragile. Multilateral efforts involving regional and global actors have begun exploring negotiation frameworks, particularly concerning maritime security and energy flows. Reports of indirect dialogue suggest that partial agreements may be possible, especially on issues like sanctions, nuclear oversight, and regional stability. However, a sustainable resolution depends on addressing deeper structural tensions, including security guarantees and economic interests. As the conflict risks evolving into a prolonged war of attrition, diplomacy appears not only preferable but increasingly necessary to prevent broader regional and global consequences. #ConfrontationbetweenIranandtheU.S. #ConfrontationbetweenIsraelandIran#MiddleEast#MiddleEastconflict#Militaryconflict READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook

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