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Tag: #forecast · 4 posts
Posted Apr 10
🚀 Australia Delays Resource and Energy Report Amid Volatility Australia's government has postponed the release of its 'Resources and Energy Quarterly' report due to extreme volatility caused by the U.S. and Israel's conflict with Iran, according to a government spokesperson on Friday. The report, initially scheduled for release at the end of March, will now be published by the end of June. According to Jin10, the report, issued by the Office of the Chief Economist, provides a three two-year outlook and a five-year macroeconomic forecast for the country's major mineral and energy exports. It typically includes historical, current, and projected export volumes and values of key commodities, analyzing global demand drivers and new demand sources. These forecasts are crucial for the federal budget, which is expected to be released in May. Recent surges in oil prices are anticipated to significantly boost Australia's liquefied natural gas (LNG) revenue, as over 75% of LNG exports are linked to oil prices with a typical lag of three to six months. Remaining spot cargoes are being sold at record prices, although rising diesel prices are increasing production costs for some miners. The revenue surge has led some groups to call for a 25% tax on LNG 'windfall profits.' Last month, reports indicated that the country's treasury was examining related tax measures, but the government has yet to confirm any plans. #Australia#Energy#Resources#LNG#OilPrices#Economy#Government#Export#Commodities#Forecast#Macroeconomics#Tax
Posted Apr 10
🚀 U.S. March Core CPI Projections Vary Among Financial Institutions According to Jin10, various financial institutions have released their projections for the U.S. March unadjusted core Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year rate. The previous value was 2.5%, while Reuters had forecasted a 2.7% increase. Norway's DNB projects a 3.0% rise, while BNP Paribas, Capital Economics, Lloyds Bank, and ANZ Bank all forecast a 2.8% increase. Other institutions, including DekaBank, Goldman Sachs, Barclays, ING, JPMorgan, Nomura Securities, Jefferies, RBC, Standard Chartered, TD Securities, SEB, UBS, and Wells Fargo, predict a 2.7% rise. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley expect a 2.6% increase. For the U.S. March seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, which had a previous value of 0.2% and a Reuters forecast of 0.3%, BNP Paribas, Lloyds, and Spartan Capital predict a 0.4% increase. ANZ Bank, Capital Economics, Commerzbank, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, ING, JPMorgan, Nomura Securities, Moody's Analytics, RBC, Société Générale, Jefferies, Standard Chartered, TD Securities, UBS, and Wells Fargo forecast a 0.3% rise. Citigroup, Mizuho Securities, FHN Financial, and Morgan Stanley expect a 0.2% increase. #US#CPI#financialinstitutions#inflation#forecast#economicprojections#coreCPI#March2026#consumerprices#bankprojections
Posted Apr 9
🚀 USDA Maintains Soybean Production Forecast for 2025/2026 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has maintained its forecast for the 2025/2026 soybean production at 4.262 billion bushels, unchanged from its March estimate. According to Jin10, the USDA also projects the ending stocks for the same period to be 350 million bushels, slightly above the market expectation of 349 million bushels, and consistent with the March forecast. Additionally, the USDA anticipates the soybean yield to remain at 53 bushels per acre, the same as the previous month's projection. #USDA#Soybean#Agriculture#Production#Forecast #2025 #2026 #Yield#EndingStocks#USAgri
Posted Apr 9
🚀 EU to Lower Economic Growth Forecast, Says Dombrovskis The European Commission is set to revise its economic growth forecast for this year downward, according to Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice President of the European Commission. According to Jin10, Dombrovskis highlighted the need for adjustments in light of current economic conditions. The decision reflects ongoing challenges within the European economy, necessitating a reassessment of growth expectations. This move comes amid broader economic uncertainties affecting the region. #EU#EconomicGrowth#Forecast#EuropeanCommission#Economy#ValdisDombrovskis#EconomicOutlook#Europe