Alpha updates. 🪓

The FOMC minutes are dropping today at 7:00 PM UTC, and honestly, everyone is watching this one closely. We are expecting a peek into what the Fed is actually thinking regarding inflation, the job market, and all this recent economic uncertainty that’s been…

2025 year for AI stocks, Doom for AI Crypto AI coins are down ~66% this year, wiping out over $53B in market cap and erasing most of the 2023-2024 gains. What's your expectation for 2026?

The FOMC minutes are dropping today at 7:00 PM UTC, and honestly, everyone is watching this one closely. We are expecting a peek into what the Fed is actually thinking regarding inflation, the job market, and all this recent economic uncertainty that’s been popping up. It’s becoming clear that there’s a real split within the Fed. They aren't all on the same page about how aggressive to get with rate cuts as we move into 2026. Looking back at 2025, they gave us three 25-bps cuts, landing the rates at 3.50%-3.75%. But even with those moves, they have stayed pretty guarded. That "wait and see" attitude has already made the market pull back its expectations for how much more easing we’ll actually get in 2026. Right now, a few officials seem to be pushing for a pause because the data is just all over the place. If these minutes lean "Hawkish," it’s basically a signal that the Fed isn't in any rush to keep cutting rates, the market sees only a 16.2% chance of another 25 bps cut at the January 27-28 meeting. With holiday thin liquidity in the market, even a small surprise in the minutes could cause outsized volatility.

BTC’s latest move up isn’t backed by spot demand. Open interest has jumped by roughly $2B, and Binance futures alone added over $700M. Price is being pushed up by aggressive traders. Stay cautious for year end volatility

Gold is now at New ATH with massive $31.7 T market cap. At this point..upside seems limited, even a 5% increase in Gold’s value would be equivalent to Bitcoin’s entire market cap. Or...think of it other way around👀

ETH is running on leverage fumes. 2025 is the year Ethereum officially turned into a pure speculation engine. For every $1 spot, there’s $5 in ETH futures. Binance alone pushed $6.7 Trillion in ETH futures, double last year. Other exchanges show the same madness. Despite all this record-breaking futures activity, 2025 has been ETH’s worst performance year ever, 9 straight months in the red. Price is being dragged around by leverage junkies, not real buyers. That’s why the price action is sloppy…Wicks are huge…and even the new ATH was barely few dollars higher.

XRP ETF inflows doing great. Another $8.19M came in last session, pushed total assets under management up to about $1.25B.

Earlier this year, when BTC dumped around $75K zone, 'Big Whale' spot orders were extremely active. Retail was panic-selling into that weakness.Whales accumulated cheap. Then from June to October, as BTC pumped above $120K, the entire order profile shifted to grey meaning whales stopped buying aggressively. They let the price run while distribution quietly happened into strength. Now look at the current data: BTC is back near the $85K -$95K range and 'Big whales' are buying again, while retail is back to selling. Same pattern. Same script. Now let’s see if the game plays out the same way.

https://x.com/axel_bitblaze69/status/2004209245345271938?s=46&t=MpsMbNE2PDtDtDfKUQWooA

BTC CME Options Update CME options data is showing something interesting. Market is in extreme fear. Bearish bets (PUT) are sitting near the highest levels we havd seen so far, means most traders are positioned for downside. Meanwhile, bullish bets (call ) peaked back in December 2024 and have been fading ever since. Optimism has dried up almost completely. When puts are crowded and calls are dead, it usually means the majority is already bearish. And that’s exactly when things start getting interesting, because whales are quietly accumulating BTC in the background. Market sentiment is weak. Fear is high. And setups like this have historically led to reversals. Not a prediction. Just reading the data.