A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

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This year, my portfolio is up +32%. All time, the portfolio (since March 2020) is up about 301%. Here's a few lessons I've learnt along the way. 1. Ignore scary news headlines. Markets get highly emotional in the short run, and this unfortunately causes people to make poor decisions. 2. Focus on price momentum and macro trends for clear directional bias. Both are incredibly important. Fight them at your own risk... 3. Trust your thorough back testing and research. 4. Everyone is apparently a genius in the comments section, but your own P&L is the ultimate guide. 99% of the comments you read across social media are unfortunately from smart-sounding, unprofitable traders. 5. No one is right all of the time, and good trading doesn't require you to be! Small risk per trade is your ally, leverage - your enemy. Let your edge play out over many trades, not an all in gamble on one setup. - Nick

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🚨 Canada’s GDP fell -0.3% MoM vs 0.0% expected, marking another setback for the loonie. This softer print adds pressure on the Bank of Canada, which already cut rates earlier this week, signaling slower momentum ahead. If growth keeps sliding, rate cuts could stick around longer than markets anticipate. 👉Unlock $560 Off EdgeFinder 👉Unlock $400 Off Gold Membership

Kiwi Slips as Downtrend Deepens NZD/USD continues to respect its well-defined downtrend, giving back all of last week’s gains and pressing toward recent lows. A break below current support would further confirm downside momentum. With little structure below, open space exists down to 0.5550, where the next notable level sits. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains in focus as markets still expect a 25 bps rate cut in November, though the chances of a larger 50 bps move have faded. Policymaker Prasanna Gai noted that U.S. tariffs have acted as a negative demand shock for New Zealand’s economy, effectively offsetting some of the RBNZ’s prior easing. This combination of global trade pressure and domestic softness continues to weigh on the kiwi. A decisive break of recent lows could open the door for an extended move lower toward 0.5550. However, any signs of stabilization in global trade sentiment or a more cautious tone from the RBNZ could trigger a revival.

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USD/CAD Climbs as Weak GDP Hits the Loonie USD/CAD bounced strongly after testing the 50% retracement level during Wednesday’s Fed Day and is now climbing toward a key resistance around 1.4050. Price action shows consistent buying momentum off support, with short-term structure remaining bullish. A break and hold above 1.4050 could open the door to retesting the early 2025 highs. The Canadian dollar came under pressure this morning after GDP data missed expectations at -0.3% vs 0.0%, reinforcing concerns of a slowing economy. The BoC’s 25 bps rate cut earlier this week further weighed on CAD sentiment, giving USD/CAD an additional lift. Meanwhile, in the U.S., traders are still digesting Powell’s hawkish comments from Wednesday. Although markets continue to speculate about a possible December Fed cut, the odds remain low as long as the government shutdown delays key economic data releases, leaving the Fed in wait-and-see mode.

New Feature Unlocked! 🔓 Simple Moving Average Heatmap!📈 Scan the markets from a birds eye view, easily spotting strongest bullish/bearish moving charts! More technical scanners are coming to EdgeFinder soon. This feature (and all future ones) are free to existing EdgeFinder users. Enjoy! - A1 Trading Team

One of our VIP members just passed his funding challenge this week🙌 Always cool to see traders in the community putting in the work and seeing it pay off. If you’re not already in the VIP Discord, that’s where you can watch how Marko and I manage our trades, hang out with other traders, and follow the journey in real time. 👉Join here (& get up to $399 off):https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip

Dollar Dominates as Fed Turns Hawkish, Yen Crumbles USD/JPY trades at 154.3, its highest level in over eight months, extending the Dollar’s rally after the Fed’s hawkish tone. The pair broke above short-term resistance and continues to trade within a strong uptrend. If buyers hold price above 153, momentum could target the 155.00 psychological handle next. A pullback to retest prior support zones may attract fresh buyers looking to ride the trend. The Dollar strengthened across the board after Fed Chair Powell said a December rate cut is “not a foregone conclusion — far from it.” Powell emphasized that the Fed will stay data-dependent, and if data remains unavailable due to the shutdown, they may simply hold off. Meanwhile, in Japan, the BoJ left rates unchanged, with two dissenters again voting for a hike. Governor Ueda gave little forward guidance, keeping markets uncertain and weighing on the yen. With the Fed signaling patience and the BoJ staying dovish, USD/JPY could stay elevated in the short term.

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