A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

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AUD currency pairs: retail is still largely betting against the AUD! We've been bullish AUD and looking to fade the crowd. By the way, this data is available for FREE on our website, https://a1trading.com/retail-sentiment/ I recommend bookmarking the page! - Nick

XAU/USD: The "Golden Era" May Return. Watch Out For This: Gold at $4,750, up three straight sessions after rebounding $250 from Monday's lows. But the bigger picture tells a different story — bullion is still down 10% since the war began. The safe haven that was supposed to shine in conflict hasn't. The pre-war "Golden Era" was built on global easing, falling yields, and central bank gold buying. The war broke that playbook. Central banks pivoted hawkish, yields surged, and the dollar became the preferred safe haven. Gold lost its edge to cash and bonds that actually pay yield. Here's what changes if a deal lands. Oil drops, inflation expectations cool, rate hike pricing unwinds, and the easing cycle that fueled gold's run can resume. Central bank buying never stopped — that structural bid is still there. Watch yields, the dollar, and oil. Gold seems to have a strong support level at the $4,400-$4,200 range. - Alan

USOIL: Prices Suggest The End of The War Is Near WTI is down 5.8% at $90. Brent broke below $100. The catalyst: a reported 14-point MoU framework between the US and Iran that could end the war within days. The deal includes gradual Hormuz reopening, a nuclear enrichment moratorium, enhanced inspections, and phased sanctions relief. Tehran is reviewing. Trump gave Iran one week — and warned "the bombing starts" if they don't accept. Oil is stabilizing around $95 this morning for good reason. Multiple draft versions are circulating, Iran hasn't committed, and even if signed, physical reopening takes months — mines need clearing, insurance needs repricing, and 170M barrels on 166 tankers remain stranded. - Alan

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The $SMH ETF has gone on its most incredible run in history, moving up 50% in just 30 days... My opinion: Can't short it, can't chase it... just sit back with some popcorn! - Nick

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