A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

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Potential Bitcoin Trade?😮 Chart of the Day: BTC/USD🔥

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Target hit on this mornings GBPUSD signal. Letting the second half run! - Nick

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My apologies for the typo — the oil chart above is a weekly chart. 📈 - Alan

Oil Shrugs Off Military Escort Talk as Prices Stay Bid WTI is pushing higher again, up more than 3% and trading toward $78, nearing its highest level since January 2025. This move is still being driven by geopolitics and supply constraints. The Middle East conflict is disrupting flows, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains impaired—keeping a risk premium firmly embedded in crude. Efforts to calm the market, including ideas around vessel insurance and naval escorts, haven’t been enough to restore confidence. Adding fuel to the upside, China has reportedly ordered major refiners to halt diesel and gasoline exports, tightening the refined products picture at a time when the market is already sensitive to disruption risk. On the other side, the latest EIA print did offer a buffer: U.S. crude inventories rose 3.5M barrels to 439.3M, above expectations. But for now, the inventory build is taking a back seat to the bigger driver—restricted supply risk and escalation uncertainty. - Alan

Jobless Claims Beat, but the Real Test Is Tomorrow DXY is back in control after briefly easing off three-month highs. U.S. jobless claims came in better than expected, giving the dollar another boost. The real test is still ahead: tomorrow’s Unemployment Rate and NFP will decide whether this move extends or cools. The dollar is strengthening because global markets are trading risk-off. With the Middle East conflict driving volatility and energy prices higher, investors are prioritizing liquidity and safety—right now, USD is the safe haven that’s actually working. Even traditional hedges like gold haven’t been absorbing flows the usual way, which keeps the dollar bid. This week’s rally is being reinforced by the inflation angle. Higher energy prices are reviving inflation concerns and forcing markets to reassess the path for rate cuts. As a result, Fed easing expectations have been pushed back, and the dollar is benefiting from the “higher for longer” repricing. - Alan

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