A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

Bond markets reacted aggressively. Demand at long-end JGB auctions deteriorated, yields surged, and investors stepped away from Japanese debt amid fears of larger deficits and increased issuance. Despite rising yields, the yen failed to catch a bid, reinforcing concerns that reflationary fiscal policy is pressuring confidence rather than supporting the currency. Markets are pricing a clear divergence in Japan — fiscal stimulus may lift equities, but it comes at the cost of higher yields, a weaker yen, and rising volatility in bonds and FX. - Alan

Quick Update on Japan Japan is seeing a broad confidence shock across bonds and FX as fiscal risks come sharply into focus. Equities, on the other hand, could benefit from Takaichi’s pro-stimulus agenda. Japanese government bonds plunged, sending yields to fresh record highs across the curve and the yen continued to struggle. The trigger is Prime Minister Takaichi’s confirmation of a snap election on February 8, paired with a proposal to cut the food sales tax to 0% — a move that raises serious questions about fiscal sustainability with no clear plan to offset lost revenue. Takaichi favors policies like tax cuts and increased spending in growth areas (AI, defense, semiconductors) that directly benefit companies and boost domestic demand.

Tariff Fears Spark Volatility, Then Cool as Markets Stabilize Volatility picked up sharply after fresh tariff threats from Trump reignited trade-war fears with Europe, triggering a brief “Sell America” move across stocks, the dollar, and long-dated Treasuries. Risk metrics jumped, with the VIX spiking as much as 9% and briefly trading above its 200-day moving average, while the dollar slipped and equity markets sold off. After the market open, the tone shifted. The Supreme Court declined to rule on Trump’s tariffs, pushing any decision out to at least late February. With no immediate legal shock, risk-off flows began to unwind. The VIX faded back to flat on the day, stocks rebounded, and the S&P 500 found support at its 50-day moving average — suggesting markets are settling, for now, as the tariff overhang moves into a waiting game. - Alan

Boom! NZDUSD trade signal closed out. Total of +152 pips 🎯

JUST IN: Supreme court will be taking recess. New expectation for a verdict is February 20. VIX is already cooling down. Expecting markets to stabilize until then. As always, trade safely! - Alan

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Tariffs are back?!😮 Chart of the Day: NAS100🔥

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