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Pubblicato 16 gen
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Pubblicato 15 gen
Pubblicato 15 gen
The Dollar Is Surging!💪 Chart of the Day: DXY🔥
Pubblicato 15 gen
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Pubblicato 15 gen
Last Line of Defense for DXY Bears The dollar pushed above 99.4, as resilient U.S. data continues to ease pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively. Weekly jobless claims came in well below expectations, reinforcing that layoffs remain limited and the labor market is holding up despite higher borrowing costs. DXY is now approaching the 61.8% retracement — effectively the last line of defense for short-term dollar bears. With Trump saying he has no plans to remove Powell and markets expecting the Fed to hold steady this month before potentially cutting starting in June, the near-term bias remains supported. Technically, a clean break above the 61.8% level opens the door toward the 100 handle. The main wildcard remains the Supreme Court’s pending tariff ruling — I’m still unsure how the outcome will ultimately influence market direction. It’s a two-sided risk, and this is one of those situations where it’s best to let the market lead and see how the news is interpreted in real time. - Alan
Pubblicato 15 gen
Sterling is Getting Pounded GBP/USD is losing momentum, down ~0.5% on the day. Price has not yet reached key support at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels — areas to watch closely for a potential bounce if sellers begin to exhaust. Sterling trimmed losses slightly after UK GDP surprised to the upside in November, helped largely by a temporary rebound in auto production. The data did little to shift the broader narrative: growth remains uneven, confidence is fragile, and momentum has faded since summer. Markets continue to price roughly 40 bps of BoE cuts by September, with economists warning the soft patch could persist into 2026. A firmer dollar and fading support from earlier fiscal optimism are weighing on GBP, with the next key catalyst being UK CPI on January 21. - Alan
Pubblicato 15 gen
EdgeFinder chart of the day... AAII Investor Sentiment data shows that the crowd is feeling very optimistic on stocks for the coming 6 months. This has historically been followed by lackluster forward looking average returns.
Pubblicato 15 gen
EdgeFinder chart of the day... AAII Investor Sentiment data shows that the crowd is feeling very optimistic on stocks for the coming 6 months. This has historically been followed by lackluster forward looking average returns.
Pubblicato 14 gen
Pubblicato 14 gen
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Pubblicato 14 gen
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Pubblicato 14 gen
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