A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

But fascinatingly... gold is somewhat opposite! Strong years tend to be followed by strong years. So powerful. Get an EdgeFinder copy! Happy New Year! - Nick

Late night EdgeFinder chart... Stock market returns tend to be positive most years - however, they tend to be best following down years and less attractive following strong up years. - Nick

Kiwi's Rate Path is Mixed The kiwi is closing out the year relatively steady near 0.576, holding onto modest annual gains versus the dollar. The Kiwi finished the year ~3%+ YTD while the Dollar ended ~10%- YTD. Earlier optimism around a possible rate hike next year gave NZD some support, but that narrative didn’t last. The RBNZ has likely finished its cutting cycle after an aggressive 225bp of easing, but the new central bank leadership has pushed back hard against near-term hike expectations — a shift that weighed on the kiwi. Markets now see little chance of a hike before mid-2026, with July priced at ~40% and September closer to 70%, while a rate cut is fully priced by October. NZD is stable, but conviction is lacking as policy expectations have been pushed further out. As the final chart markup of 2025, it was truly a pleasure serving you all. Happy New Years, Alan 🙂

Silver Wraps Up 2025 With a Bang Silver has been on a roller-coaster — a sharp rally, a violent pullback, another surge, and now another reversal. A tricky asset to trade in the short-term. Price dropped 5% to ~$72 after tagging a record $86.62, as traders locked in profits into year-end. Even with the pullback, silver is still up 150%+ YTD, massively outperforming gold and shaping up for its strongest year on record. The bigger picture hasn’t changed. Silver is supported long-term by: - Structural supply constraints, low inventories, and its designation as a U.S. critical mineral - Strong industrial + investment demand, and expectations for Fed easing in 2026 - EdgeFinder strong bullish reading Short-term price action is noisy — but the macro and structural backdrop remains intact. - Alan

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No exaggeration, not trading with the EdgeFinder is probably costing you money.

Possibilities for the Pound GBP/USD is ranging near recent highs in thin holiday conditions. A break below 1.3470 would likely open the door for a deeper pullback, while holding above keeps the broader bullish structure intact. GBP has been steady against the dollar, with little fresh news to drive price. The dominant driver remains the BoE decision earlier this month, where policymakers delivered a rate cut but signaled that the pace of easing could slow further — that has helped keep GBP supported. That said, the medium-term picture is more mixed. With the UK labor market weakening, expectations are building for lower inflation ahead, which could give the BoE room to cut more aggressively than markets currently price. Some see as many as three cuts in 2026, a reminder that while GBP is supported near term, longer-term risks still lean dovish. GBP/USD 1H (left) | 1D (right): Above recent highs → trend stays elevated Below 1.3470 → higher-timeframe pullback toward 38.2% / 50% / 61.8% retracements - Alan