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Pubblicato 2 dic
USD offers the highest "real yield". What does that mean? Interest rate offered - erosion due to inflation = real yield. Higher real yield makes the currency more attractive, as investors can potentially realize a greater profit investing via that currency. On a longer term basis, this is why I think the dollar can be strong - historically real yield tends to cause favorable drift. - Nick
Pubblicato 2 dic
Stops locked in profit 🔏
Pubblicato 2 dic
NAS signal 📈
Pubblicato 2 dic
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Pubblicato 2 dic
Pubblicato 2 dic
SL Trailed into profit on gold signal 📈 - Nick
Pubblicato 2 dic
Pubblicato 2 dic
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Pubblicato 2 dic
Calmer Markets, Stronger S&P S&P 500 is green on the day, up 0.33%, continuing its recovery from last week’s selloff. We’re not back to mid-November levels yet, but price action suggests we’re heading in that direction. Dip buyers remain active, and momentum is slowly shifting back toward the bulls. Volatility is cooling off. Lower volatility = easier runway for equities. Markets breathe better when things calm down, and that’s what we’re seeing today. A rebound in JGBs overnight eased global fear, giving US equities some relief after yesterday’s risk-off move. CME Fedwatch now puts a December rate cut at 87%—that’s extremely high conviction. Hassett likely to become the next Fed Chair He’s known as a dove. A dovish chair + an easing Fed = bullish environment for risk assets heading into 2026. Equities are catching a bid again as global fear cools and the macro backdrop leans more supportive. If the S&P can break back toward mid-Nov levels, momentum could pick up into December. - Alan
Pubblicato 2 dic
Aussie Extends Its Winning Streak AUD/USD is trading higher on the day, extending a strong run with seven straight green candles. The pair now approaches levels not seen since mid-November. Australia printed solid Q3 growth signals, with government spending jumping and adding meaningful support to GDP. That lifted expectations ahead of Wednesday’s GDP report and helped fuel Aussie strength. Meanwhile, surging Japanese yields spilled across global bond markets, pushing Australian 10-year yields to fresh 11-month highs and widening the AU–US yield spread to its largest since 2022. At the same time, markets have priced out almost any chance of further RBA cuts, expecting the central bank to hold rates at 3.60% next week with a more hawkish lean. If growth data comes in hot and the RBA leans firmer on inflation, AUD/USD could extend this multi-day rally into higher levels. But if GDP underwhelms or global risk sentiment sours, the pair is overextended enough to justify a pullback. - Alan
Pubblicato 2 dic
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