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Futures Shake Off Outage, Stay Green Wall Street is setting up for a green open after futures finally came back online, following a rare overnight outage at CME that froze trading across global markets. CME blamed the halt on a cooling issue at one of its data centers, but everything is now back up and running. Futures—normally the main tool traders use to read pre-market sentiment—were offline for hours, leaving markets flying blind during month-end rebalancing. Given the thin holiday liquidity, nothing really happened. Markets close early today at 1 p.m. ET. Even with last night’s outage, equity futures are back online and pushing green, keeping the bullish trend alive. Happy holidays from A1 Trading — enjoy the weekend, traders. - Alan

CAD Heats Up USD/CAD continues to slide and is now pushing toward the established support zone at 1.3900. This level has held twice, making it a key area to watch as downside momentum builds. Canada’s GDP absolutely crushed expectations this morning, coming in at 2.6% QoQ vs the 0.5% forecast — a major upside surprise. Stronger growth = stronger CAD, and the market reacted immediately with the loonie firming across the board. On the other side, the U.S. dollar is having its weakest week since July, pressured by rising expectations for a December Fed rate cut and thin liquidity from Thanksgiving. Rate-cut bets + softer USD macro tone = downward pressure on USD pairs. The combination of CAD strength on strong domestic data and USD weakness from rate-cut expectations sets up USD/CAD for a red finish this week. - Alan

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On the U.S. side, the dollar is on the defensive. Softer U.S. data reinforced December rate-cut expectations, and markets are reacting to speculation that Kevin Hassett — a more dovish pick compared to Powell — could be named the next Fed Chair. Rate-cut odds now sit near 85%, keeping USD upside capped. What It Means / Possible Outcomes: • Scenario 1 — Breakout: If USD/JPY clears resistance convincingly, momentum traders may force a run deeper into intervention territory, but the risk of a sudden BOJ response becomes extremely high. • Scenario 2 — Rejection: A rejection at these elevated levels could finally deliver the deeper correction traders have been waiting for — especially if U.S. data confirms weakening conditions and rate-cut odds climb further. • Scenario 3 — Intervention Shock: Headline intervention or even a firm verbal warning could trigger a sharp intraday flush, but unless the macro backdrop shifts, dips may continue to attract buyers. - Alan