A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures

Sign up for VIP Trade Alerts if you'd like to receive notification of each trade we take, with educational breakdowns on each. Click here to explore Have questions? Message our team here

EUR/USD shorts from earlier today! DXY swinging back this afternoon. - Nick

Live stream finished (6 hours)

Trade with more flexibility and better payouts at DNA Funded. ✔️ Earn up to 90% profit split ✔️ Get paid in as little as 7 days ✔️ Unlimited trading days on Phase 1 and 2 ✔️ Access 800 plus markets ✔️ Optional add ons to customize your challenge Take 20% OFF your challenge Use code: A1T20 👉 Start your challenge today

DXY Pulls Back as Safe-Haven Bid Fades DXY failed to hold the 100.5 highs and is now pulling back into the 99.5 support zone — a key level to watch in the near-term. Despite strong U.S. data (Retail Sales + ADP), price couldn’t extend higher, which signals fading momentum on the safe-haven bid. The move lower comes as Middle East tensions show signs of stabilization, reducing demand for the dollar. That said, price is still holding within a broader bullish structure for now — this is more of a pullback than a confirmed reversal unless 99.5 breaks clean. Above, 100.5 remains the clear resistance and recent high. A reclaim puts continuation back on the table. Below, a break of 99.5 opens the door for a deeper unwind of the war premium. Fundamentally, this is a transition phase — shifting from geopolitics driving flows to central banks taking back control. If tensions ease further, expect rate expectations and inflation narratives to dictate the next move. - Alan

Euro Bounce Looks Tactical For Now, Not a Trend Shift EUR/USD is catching a bounce back toward 1.16 after Trump floated a potential U.S. exit from Iran within weeks—deal or no deal. That was enough to give the euro some breathing room after a brutal March where it dropped over 2%. But nothing’s actually resolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still a problem, oil is still elevated, and inflation risks across Europe aren’t going anywhere. Markets have already started adjusting. Rate expectations for the ECB have been dialed back—less than two hikes now priced for 2026 vs. as many as three just weeks ago. That’s a shift. And structurally, not much has changed. EdgeFinder is still sitting at a bearish -8. So while price is bouncing, the underlying story hasn’t flipped. This still looks like a relief rally inside a broader weak backdrop—not a full reversal. - Alan

💥40% OFF THE EDGEFINDER | ANNIVERSARY SALE EdgeFinder was built for traders who feel overwhelmed by all the noise and just want clear direction, focusing on what actually moves markets: fundamentals and sentiment. If you’ve been second guessing your trades, this is your chance to trade with more clarity and confidence. Celebrate 4 years of EdgeFinder with $560 off. 🎉➡️ Get $560 Off Here

Live stream started

Taking a closer look at the Mag 7... Within StockBox, AMZN, MSFT, META, and NVDA are standing out as trading relatively cheap compared to their 3 year averages. While in the short term the market looks like it is still in a rocky downtrend, long term, I will continue looking to add to these names in my portfolio. These are some of the top businesses in the world, now trading at what I believe to be relatively cheap valuations. Currently, I already own shares in META & AMZN, and have sold puts on MSFT & NFLX (not listed in this image, but has a strong score rn too). - Nick

Trade Dynamic: The key wildcard is BoJ intervention. There’s no confirmed level, but historically the market reacts around 160–162 USD/JPY, which indirectly matters here. What makes this setup interesting: positive carry on shorts. CHF/JPY is one of the rare XXX/JPY pairs where you actually get paid to hold a short—changing the risk profile for swing positioning. You’ve got an EdgeFinder score leaning bearish, central bank alignment, weakening technicals, and favorable carry, but no confirmation yet. Until intervention hits, this is still a high-risk fade of a strong trend. - Alan

The Battle of Central Banks: CHF/JPY CHF/JPY has been in a strong uptrend, but now you’re starting to see cracks—a break in trend and loss of the 50-day SMA, with bearish signals finally showing up after a long stretch of strength. Fundamentals: This is a central bank battle. On one side, the SNB is pushing back against CHF strength, effectively capping upside. On the other, the BoJ is signaling it won’t tolerate excessive yen weakness—putting a soft floor under JPY. That creates a unique setup where both sides are creating an alignment in trend. Fundamentally, CHF isn’t as strong as price suggests either—data has been underwhelming, reinforcing that upside cap. Meanwhile, Japan still has a longer-term path toward tightening, even if intervention timing is uncertain.